Region = PA    PAC 10           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   P. Wernersbach        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 86.5329

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 N Methacton              PA    PAC 10  (15- 6, 87.8)     6- 7  o
 325 A Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC 10  (19- 2, 92.4)    10-19   
 327 H Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC 10  ( 8-11, 81.4)     8- 7   
 330 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC 10  (13- 6, 86.2)     9- 8  o
 331 A North Penn             PA    Sub N   (10- 9, 82.9)     9-12   
 407 A Great Valley           PA    Chsmnt  (21- 4, 97.2)     5-21   
 408 A Pope John Paul II, PA  PA    PAC 10  ( 9-10, 77.3)    11- 6   
 411 N Germantown Friends     PA    Friend  (10-10, 84.1)    13- 7   
 415 H Phoenixville           PA    PAC 10  (11- 9, 82.3)    15- 6   
 417 A Upper Perkiomen        PA    PAC 10  ( 8-10, 76.6)    15- 5   
 420 H Pottstown              PA    PAC 10  ( 3-12, 68.8)    19- 5   
 422 A Methacton              PA    PAC 10  (15- 6, 87.8)     8-13   
 424 H Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC 10  (19- 2, 92.4)    10-18   
 425 N Harriton               PA    Centrl  (20- 5, 98.4)     1-16   
 427 A Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC 10  ( 8-11, 81.4)    12-11   
 429 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC 10  (13- 6, 86.2)    12-13   
 430 H Pottsgrove             PA    PAC 10  ( 4-14, 68.2)    18- 6   
 501 H Bishop Shanahan        PA    Chsmnt  (15- 5, 90.6)     9-18   
 512 A Springfield (DelCo)    PA    Centrl  (17- 6, 90.7)    12-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 N Methacton               6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49
   325 A Owen J. Roberts        10-19      -9   -10           1.00
   327 H Perkiomen Valley        8- 7       1     1          -0.44
   330 A Spring-Ford             9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.44
   331 A North Penn              9-12      -3    -1          -1.83
   407 A Great Valley            5-21     -16   -15           0.00
   408 A Pope John Paul II, PA  11- 6       5     4           0.57
   411 N Germantown Friends     13- 7       6    -1          n/a  
   415 H Phoenixville           15- 6       9     0    +++    8.47
   417 A Upper Perkiomen        15- 5      10     5    ++     4.82
   420 H Pottstown              19- 5      14    14           0.00
   422 A Methacton               8-13      -5    -6           1.05
   424 H Owen J. Roberts        10-18      -8    -9           1.52
   425 N Harriton                1-16     -15   -16           0.00
   427 A Perkiomen Valley       12-11       1     0           0.67
   429 A Spring-Ford            12-13      -1    -4    +      3.44
   430 H Pottsgrove             18- 6      12    14           0.00
   501 H Bishop Shanahan         9-18      -9    -7          -1.24
   512 A Springfield (DelCo)    12-22     -10    -8          -1.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 N Germantown Friends     13- 7       6    -1    +++        
   415 H Phoenixville           15- 6       9     0    +++    8.47
   324 N Methacton               6- 7  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49
   330 A Spring-Ford             9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.44
   417 A Upper Perkiomen        15- 5      10     5    ++     4.82
   429 A Spring-Ford            12-13      -1    -4    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.30 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.48 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/