Bethesda-Chevy Chase          5 - 6


 
                                     Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Barons               Coach  =   Amanda Arnoult        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 74.51366

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 N Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 56.1)    21- 8   
 325 A Einstein               MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 5, 55.3)   
 331 A Poolesville            MD    3A-2A   (10- 3, 79.9)     8-14   
 402 H Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 79.4)     8-19   
 414 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 9, 66.0)    16-11   
 416 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 79.3)     4-14   
 418 A Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (15- 2, 84.5)     6-20   
 420 H Wootton                MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 8, 71.9)    12- 8   
 423 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (13- 2, 84.4)     5-15   
 427 H Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 7- 8, 73.0)    13-12   
 429 A Northwood, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 1-12, 54.6)    17-10   
 502 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 4, 66.6)   
 509 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 79.4)     1-21   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Magruder               21- 8      13    12           0.00
   331 A Poolesville             8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   402 H Winston Churchill       8-19     -11    -9          -0.33
   414 A Walter Johnson         16-11       5     2    +      2.99
   416 A Whitman, MD             4-14     -10   -11           0.00
   418 A Damascus                6-20     -14   -16           0.00
   420 H Wootton                12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.15
   423 A Sherwood, MD            5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   427 H Sidwell Friends        13-12       1    -3          n/a  
   429 A Northwood, MD          17-10       7    13    -     -3.00
   509 A Winston Churchill       1-21     -20   -11           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Northwood, MD          17-10       7    13    -     -3.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Wootton                12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.15
   331 A Poolesville             8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   427 H Sidwell Friends        13-12       1    -3    ++         
   414 A Walter Johnson         16-11       5     2    +      2.99




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.88 Local Power Rank...........    78
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.89 Local SOS Rank.............    66
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    76
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0


  
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