Region = VA 5A South            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Lauren Thraves        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 81.86185

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 6A South   (11- 5, 74.0)    13- 7   
 318 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     (21- 3, 98.4)     1-16   
 324 A Loudoun Valley         VA 2A North   ( 9- 6, 77.9)     9-10   
 326 H Salem, VA              VA 2A South   (12- 4, 80.1)     6- 9   
 402 N St. Catherine's, VA    VA Pr LIS     ( 6- 8, 84.4)    12-18   
 414 A Monticello, VA         VA 2A South   (14- 3, 82.4)    18-14   
 417 H Western Albemarle      VA 2A South   (13- 6, 81.1)    10-13   
 422 H Covenant School        VA Pr LIS     ( 0- 9, 68.7)    17- 9   
 424 A Fluvanna               VA 2A South   ( 1-11, 58.6)    15- 2   
 428 H Charlottesville        VA 2A South   ( 3- 8, 66.4)    17- 9   
 501 A Charlottesville        VA 2A South   ( 3- 8, 66.4)    17- 7   
 505 H Monticello, VA         VA 2A South   (14- 3, 82.4)    14-16   
 507 A Western Albemarle      VA 2A South   (13- 6, 81.1)     7- 9   
 513 H Fluvanna               VA 2A South   ( 1-11, 58.6)    15- 4   
 521 H Freedom, Prince Willia VA 5A South   ( 0- 7, 55.4)    14- 4   
 526 A Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   ( 9- 7, 68.7)    16- 3   
 528 A Massaponax             VA 5A South   (14- 4, 72.4)    19- 7   
 602 H Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   (12- 4, 79.6)    13-12   
 604 H Deep Run               VA 5A South   (15- 3, 78.7)    14-15   
 609 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (14- 5, 85.9)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 13- 7       6     2    +      3.35
   318 H St. Anne's-Belfield     1-16     -15   -19           0.00
   324 A Loudoun Valley          9-10      -1    -1           0.26
   326 H Salem, VA               6- 9      -3    -1          -1.48
   402 N St. Catherine's, VA    12-18      -6    -6           0.73
   414 A Monticello, VA         18-14       4    -5    +++    9.76
   417 H Western Albemarle      10-13      -3    -2          -0.55
   422 H Covenant School        17- 9       8     9          -1.94
   424 A Fluvanna               15- 2      13    18           0.00
   428 H Charlottesville        17- 9       8    12    -     -2.00
   501 A Charlottesville        17- 7      10    10           0.00
   505 H Monticello, VA         14-16      -2    -3           1.82
   507 A Western Albemarle       7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.40
   513 H Fluvanna               15- 4      11    19           0.00
   521 H Freedom, Prince Willia 14- 4      10    23           0.00
   526 A Mountain View, VA      16- 3      13     7    +      2.01
   528 A Massaponax             19- 7      12     4    ++     5.70
   602 H Douglas Freeman        13-12       1     0           1.94
   604 H Deep Run               14-15      -1     0          -0.93
   609 A Potomac Falls           6-18     -12    -9          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Charlottesville        17- 9       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Monticello, VA         18-14       4    -5    +++    9.76
   528 A Massaponax             19- 7      12     4    ++     5.70
   316 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 13- 7       6     2    +      3.35
   507 A Western Albemarle       7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.40
   526 A Mountain View, VA      16- 3      13     7    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.65 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.57 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/