Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Lemnah-Warner   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 88.40759

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (13- 6, 80.5)    13- 7   
 413 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 3-14, 66.8)    19- 3   
 416 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (22- 3, 95.7)     4-13   
 421 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (22- 3, 95.7)     2-17   
 424 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 3-14, 66.8)    19- 5   
 427 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)     9-10   
 428 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 68.3)    19- 6   
 430 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8- 9, 75.9)    15- 7   
 504 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)     5-20   
 505 A Ellington              CT    Class S ( 7-10, 75.9)    22-14   
 508 H Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 6- 8, 73.3)    19- 7   
 511 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)    11-14   
 514 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 7-10, 73.2)    17- 4   
 515 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)     9-10   
 518 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    18- 4   
 520 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 6- 8, 73.3)    16- 5   
 522 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    19- 5   
 526 H Cathedral, MA          MA    C/W D2  ( 3-11, 60.0)     1- 0   
 603 H Marlborough, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 7-10, 70.9)    17- 7   
 605 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)     7-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A East Longmeadow        13- 7       6     3    +      2.33
   413 H West Springfield, MA   19- 3      16    19           0.00
   416 A Longmeadow              4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   421 H Longmeadow              2-17     -15    -9          -0.31
   424 A West Springfield, MA   19- 5      14    17           0.00
   427 A Northampton, MA         9-10      -1    -2           1.17
   428 A Amherst-Pelham         19- 6      13    15           0.00
   430 A Belchertown            15- 7       8     8          -0.31
   504 A Minnechaug              5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.55
   505 A Ellington              22-14       8     8          n/a  
   508 H Tantasqua              19- 7      12    12           0.00
   511 H Northampton, MA        11-14      -3     0    -     -2.60
   514 H Westfield HS, MA       17- 4      13    12           0.00
   515 H Minnechaug              9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.68
   518 H South Hadley           18- 4      14    11           0.00
   520 A Tantasqua              16- 5      11    10           0.00
   522 A South Hadley           19- 5      14     9           0.21
   603 H Marlborough, MA        17- 7      10    15           0.00
   605 A Algonquin               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   605 A Algonquin               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.85
   504 A Minnechaug              5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.55
   511 H Northampton, MA        11-14      -3     0    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Minnechaug              9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.68
   408 A East Longmeadow        13- 7       6     3    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.08 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.27 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/