Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Scott Biron           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 93.424866

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Chelmsford             MA    No D1   ( 9- 9, 80.2)    18- 0   
 331 A Newton South           MA    East D1 (10- 9, 77.2)    17- 1   
 402 H Waltham                MA    East D1 (11-10, 79.6)    19- 6   
 408 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (19- 2, 93.7)     7-11   
 410 A Westford Academy       MA    East D1 ( 9- 9, 82.5)    15- 4   
 414 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (10- 7, 88.1)     7-14   
 422 A Wayland                MA    East D2 (11- 9, 83.2)    12- 9   
 423 H Exeter Area HS, NH     NH    DI      (16- 5, 96.6)    16-10   
 424 H Lexington HS           MA    East D1 (10- 8, 82.5)    11-10   
 427 H Cambridge R-L          MA    East D1 ( 1-11, 69.2)    17- 2   
 428 A Boston Latin School    MA    Indep   ( 0-14, 63.3)    17- 0   
 501 H Weston, MA             MA    East D2 (12- 8, 82.2)    19-10   
 505 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (19- 2, 93.7)    12- 9   
 507 H Westford Academy       MA    East D1 ( 9- 9, 82.5)    15- 9   
 512 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (10- 7, 88.1)    12-12   
 519 H Wayland                MA    East D2 (11- 9, 83.2)    16- 6   
 527 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)    10- 9   
 603 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (10- 7, 88.1)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Chelmsford             18- 0      18    12           0.00
   331 A Newton South           17- 1      16    13           0.00
   402 H Waltham                19- 6      13    13           0.00
   408 H Concord-Carlisle        7-11      -4     0    -     -3.05
   410 A Westford Academy       15- 4      11     8           1.53
   414 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7-14      -7     4    ---  -11.66
   422 A Wayland                12- 9       3     7    --    -4.74
   423 H Exeter Area HS, NH     16-10       6    -3          n/a  
   424 H Lexington HS           11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   427 H Cambridge R-L          17- 2      15    23           0.00
   428 A Boston Latin School    17- 0      17    27           0.00
   501 H Weston, MA             19-10       9    10          -1.00
   505 A Concord-Carlisle       12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.71
   507 H Westford Academy       15- 9       6    10    --    -4.00
   512 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    12-12       0     2    -     -2.89
   519 H Wayland                16- 6      10     9           0.49
   527 A Algonquin              10- 9       1     2          -1.65
   603 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7-14      -7     4    ---  -11.66
   424 H Lexington HS           11-10       1    10    ---   -9.00
   603 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     7- 9      -2     4    ---   -6.66
   422 A Wayland                12- 9       3     7    --    -4.74
   507 H Westford Academy       15- 9       6    10    --    -4.00
   408 H Concord-Carlisle        7-11      -4     0    -     -3.05
   512 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    12-12       0     2    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Exeter Area HS, NH     16-10       6    -3    +++        
   505 A Concord-Carlisle       12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.87 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.70 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    1.6 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/