girls probabilites for 15
 
 

2014 girls FL-FHSAA

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ponte Vedra 19 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 5 7.00 2 Vero Beach 21 3 1 1 1 1 10 1 12 81.00 3 Barron Collier 18 6 3 13 9 3 8 7 18 5.00 4 Bartram Trail 14 6 5 8 6 5 3 10 18 2.00 5 St. Thomas Aquin 15 5 6 14 11 6 4 11 21 1.00 6 Martin County 12 5 4 6 10 4 12 9 25 1.00 7 Bishop Moore 15 3 7 16 7 7 14 6 27 1.00 8 Lake Brantley 15 4 9 17 4 11 17 4 32 0.10 9 Benjamin School 12 4 10 10 3 9 23 3 35 0.10 10 Olympia 19 6 14 22 17 16 6 16 38 0.10 11 Jensen Beach 12 6 13 7 14 8 19 12 39 0.10 12 Satellite 18 3 39 104 15 19 7 15 41 0.10 13 Lake Highland Pr 11 9 18 4 23 13 2 28 43 0.10 14 Oak Hall 15 4 15 47 18 18 9 18 45 0.10 15 Pope John Paul I 16 5 8 15 5 10 30 5 45 1.00 16 Winter Springs 13 6 12 9 13 14 22 14 50 1.00 17 Timber Creek 13 5 17 23 20 17 15 21 53 0.10 18 Oviedo 17 7 11 12 8 12 42 8 62 0.10 19 Tampa Catholic 16 5 50 103 34 24 11 33 68 0.10 20 Pine Crest 11 8 16 11 28 15 27 29 71 0.10 21 Palmer Trinity 11 3 35 98 27 22 29 24 75 0.10 22 Hagerty 13 7 21 27 29 30 20 27 77 0.10 23 Creekside 9 8 20 5 40 25 13 44 82 0.10 24 West Orange 15 4 19 53 21 29 33 22 84 0.10 25 H.B. Plant 13 1 28 140 16 21 50 17 88 0.10 26 Dr. Phillips 14 5 25 59 25 39 24 26 89 0.10 27 Western HS, FL 14 4 23 40 22 31 41 20 92 0.10 28 St. Edward's 3 9 43 3 50 36 5 52 93 0.10 29 Naples 11 6 27 37 30 20 45 30 95 0.10 30 Gulf Coast 12 5 29 41 19 26 52 19 97 0.10 31 St. Andrew's, FL 8 7 31 20 47 33 16 51 100 0.10 32 Rockledge 13 5 56 128 45 41 21 40 102 0.10 33 Stoneman Douglas 10 5 30 32 35 35 31 38 104 0.10 34 Community Sch-Na 7 5 36 30 39 23 47 36 106 0.10 35 Winter Park 12 7 22 25 42 37 35 43 115 0.10 36 Buchholz 11 4 34 78 36 28 54 35 117 0.10 37 Sebastian River 12 5 52 116 46 40 38 42 120 0.10 38 Robinson, FL 11 4 66 143 38 43 40 39 122 0.10 39 Spanish River 12 3 26 68 24 38 63 25 126 0.10 40 Newsome 12 3 67 147 31 45 62 31 138 0.10 41 West Shore 11 5 63 132 51 49 46 46 141 0.10 42 Park Vista 8 10 24 18 70 47 28 72 147 0.10 43 Trinity Prep, FL 8 7 37 28 71 44 37 68 149 0.10 44 Wellington, FL 13 7 32 42 43 54 51 53 158 0.10 45 Lyman 8 9 46 31 83 51 26 85 162 0.10 46 St. Augustine 16 3 33 83 12 27 125 13 165 0.10 47 Gulf Breeze 9 4 49 72 41 32 94 41 167 0.10 48 Eastside, Gaines 11 5 59 101 44 60 71 45 176 0.10 49 Cardinal Gibbons 9 9 42 34 93 48 36 95 179 0.10 50 Boone 9 8 57 46 87 52 43 87 182 0.10 51 Fort Myers 10 6 74 127 64 66 55 62 183 0.10 52 Pine School 5 7 54 24 62 64 56 64 184 0.10 53 Out-of-Door Acad 9 2 51 145 26 34 128 23 185 0.10 54 American Heritag 4 7 45 33 85 62 44 83 189 0.10 55 George Steinbren 5 6 98 124 78 53 60 77 190 0.10 56 Nease 12 7 41 48 33 42 117 34 193 0.10 57 Cypress Bay 8 5 47 73 57 61 76 57 194 0.10 58 St. Stephen's ES 4 4 96 122 55 57 82 55 194 0.10 59 Lake Mary HS 5 11 44 19 106 65 18 113 196 0.10 60 Miami Palmetto 6 4 82 106 49 50 98 49 197 0.10 61 University HS, O 13 6 40 102 56 69 74 56 199 0.10 62 Canterbury Schoo 11 9 86 126 102 63 39 99 201 0.10 63 Bishop Verot 11 4 58 117 32 46 124 32 202 0.10 64 East River 11 7 61 71 68 55 80 70 205 0.10 65 Lely 7 6 69 81 52 68 92 48 208 0.10 66 South Plantation 9 6 53 74 60 70 78 61 209 0.10 67 Melbourne HS 7 9 100 121 117 73 32 110 215 0.10 68 Estero 8 6 92 129 69 75 75 67 217 0.10 69 Matanzas 9 9 64 62 100 58 61 100 219 0.10 70 Merritt Island 7 5 68 137 59 72 88 59 219 0.10 71 Episcopal, FL 5 10 93 49 116 76 25 120 221 0.10 72 Freedom, Orlando 9 7 65 90 81 77 65 81 223 0.10 73 University HS, F 4 8 79 36 92 78 57 91 226 0.10 74 Jupiter HS 6 7 55 38 66 59 106 63 228 0.10 75 Pensacola 0 8 116 26 118 82 34 116 232 0.10 76 Palmetto Ridge 3 6 90 56 73 74 96 71 241 0.10 77 West Boca Raton 7 7 70 60 67 89 79 75 243 0.10 78 South Fork 10 8 38 52 53 67 127 50 244 0.10 79 Oxbridge Academy 12 8 72 107 84 98 68 79 245 0.10 80 Edgewater 5 9 71 21 99 56 97 93 246 0.10 81 Gainesville, FL 2 7 97 58 96 83 67 96 246 0.10 82 Wharton 5 6 103 135 80 71 95 80 246 0.10 83 Fleming Island 9 5 83 131 54 84 115 54 253 0.10 84 Sarasota Militar 6 5 85 144 63 79 109 65 253 0.10 85 Fletcher 12 8 73 100 58 85 113 60 258 0.10 86 Durant 4 7 118 130 94 87 81 92 260 0.10 87 Berkeley Unified 3 8 134 114 112 81 69 112 262 0.10 88 First Academy 8 6 48 89 61 91 114 58 263 0.10 89 Wekiva 7 10 94 85 113 101 53 118 272 0.10 90 Orangewood CS 8 7 77 110 75 95 104 74 273 0.10 91 Cardinal Newman, 8 8 62 69 76 88 102 84 274 0.10 92 Lake Howell 5 12 89 45 127 99 49 131 279 0.10 93 Bolles School 3 9 110 87 114 96 70 114 280 0.10 94 John Carroll CS, 5 7 75 82 82 92 107 82 281 0.10 95 Riverdale, FL 1 6 120 109 89 102 91 89 282 0.10 96 Coral Reef 5 6 88 119 77 94 116 76 286 0.10 97 East Ridge, FL 5 9 91 55 110 90 87 109 286 0.10 98 Calvary Christia 1 5 105 80 74 122 93 73 288 0.10 99 Pedro Menendez 4 7 80 86 95 86 108 94 288 0.10 100 Coral Springs Ch 7 3 78 148 37 111 147 37 295 0.10 101 W.T. Dwyer 1 5 107 44 72 108 120 69 297 0.10 102 Cypress Creek 6 9 84 94 115 106 77 115 298 0.10 103 Cardinal Mooney, 0 9 135 84 130 104 66 129 299 0.10 104 Viera 2 13 126 96 146 97 59 145 301 0.10 105 Plantation 0 7 127 29 97 120 85 98 303 0.10 106 Cooper City 6 7 76 99 88 107 110 88 305 0.10 107 Immokalee 1 8 129 57 105 105 101 102 308 0.10 108 Lake Nona 5 10 87 65 128 93 90 127 310 0.10 109 Seminole, Sanfor 4 12 95 50 135 109 64 137 310 0.10 110 Stanton College 2 3 102 134 48 125 140 47 312 0.10 111 Cape Coral 0 6 144 115 90 131 99 90 320 0.10 112 Apopka 3 13 104 66 144 121 58 144 323 0.10 113 Coral Shores 5 8 101 120 104 112 105 106 323 0.10 114 Golden Gate 2 11 123 64 137 100 89 135 324 0.10 115 Flagler Palm Coa 0 11 111 39 132 110 84 132 326 0.10 116 Sandalwood 3 11 112 88 138 116 73 139 328 0.10 117 Eau Gallie 0 15 143 118 148 138 48 148 334 0.10 118 West Broward 7 9 60 67 119 80 135 119 334 0.10 119 Freedom, Tampa 2 10 137 138 134 118 83 134 335 0.10 120 Olympic Heights 1 11 117 51 140 124 72 140 336 0.10 121 Alonso 3 8 130 146 111 115 112 111 338 0.10 122 Lake Mary Prep 2 8 108 43 91 113 131 97 341 0.10 123 Cocoa Beach 2 9 141 112 124 103 118 122 343 0.10 124 Celebration 2 8 106 79 109 123 122 105 350 0.10 125 Miami Killian 2 7 109 113 101 117 132 101 350 0.10 126 Ocoee 2 13 119 61 145 119 86 146 351 0.10 127 Hollywood Hills 0 4 145 123 65 148 146 66 360 0.10 128 Boca Raton 3 8 99 75 98 128 130 104 362 0.10 129 John I. Leonard 0 5 136 95 79 145 141 78 364 0.10 130 Taravella 4 10 81 63 122 114 134 123 371 0.10 131 All Saints' Acad 2 9 139 139 123 129 119 124 372 0.10 132 Palm Beach Centr 0 11 128 35 141 127 103 142 372 0.10 133 Melbourne Centra 2 6 115 136 86 142 145 86 373 0.10 134 Master's Academy 1 11 133 70 139 126 111 138 375 0.10 135 Suncoast Communi 0 7 114 76 108 135 133 108 376 0.10 136 Lake Minneola 2 12 122 93 143 136 100 143 379 0.10 137 Seminole Ridge 1 9 121 54 121 130 139 117 386 0.10 138 Tampa Bay Tech 1 9 147 142 129 134 126 128 388 0.10 139 Cypress Lake 1 10 138 125 136 133 121 136 390 0.10 140 Ransom Everglade 0 7 131 97 107 143 142 107 392 0.10 141 Jefferson, FL 0 9 148 141 131 140 123 130 393 0.10 142 Mandarin 1 8 125 111 120 132 143 121 396 0.10 143 Paxon Institute 0 7 146 108 103 147 148 103 398 0.10 144 Holy Trinity Epi 1 9 132 92 126 137 137 125 399 0.10 145 Flanagan 1 9 113 91 125 141 136 126 403 0.10 146 Atlantic Coast 2 10 124 133 133 144 129 133 406 0.10 147 Colonial, FL 0 14 140 77 147 139 138 147 424 0.10 148 Cornerstone Char 0 11 142 105 142 146 144 141 431 0.10
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