Region = VA 6A North            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal (Morgan) Frase

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9580078    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Mt. Vernon             VA 1A North   ( 0-11, 60.6)    17- 3   
 324 A Thomas Edison, VA      VA 1A North   ( 6- 6, 74.8)    12- 3   
 331 H Chantilly              VA 6A North   ( 2-13, 75.6)    16-10   
 403 H Falls Church           VA 1A North   ( 5- 8, 71.9)     9- 4   
 408 A McLean, VA             VA 6A North   ( 6- 6, 81.9)    13-14   
 421 A Centreville            VA 6A North   ( 9- 6, 92.0)    10-23   
 423 A Annandale              VA 6A North   ( 4-11, 79.1)    10- 9  o
 426 A Hayfield               VA 6A North   ( 6- 6, 78.5)    11-10   
 429 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   (11- 6, 83.8)    10- 9   
 502 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA 1A North   ( 4-10, 65.2)    15- 3   
 506 A South County, Lorton   VA 6A North   ( 3- 9, 79.2)    11-10   
 508 H South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 3- 9, 80.0)    10- 8   
 512 A Westfield, VA          VA 6A North   (18- 3, 99.7)     8-19   
 515 H South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 3- 9, 80.0)     9- 8  o
 521 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   (11- 6, 83.8)     9- 5   
 523 A James Madison, VA      VA 6A North   (15- 2, 99.9)     2-17   
 528 H Robinson Secondary, VA VA 6A North   (12- 7, 93.3)    12-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Mt. Vernon             17- 3      14    24           0.00
   324 A Thomas Edison, VA      12- 3       9     8           0.43
   331 H Chantilly              16-10       6     9    -     -3.56
   403 H Falls Church            9- 4       5    13    --    -5.00
   408 A McLean, VA             13-14      -1     1    -     -2.43
   421 A Centreville            10-23     -13    -8          -1.36
   423 A Annandale              10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.28
   426 A Hayfield               11-10       1     4    -     -3.88
   429 H Washington-Lee         10- 9       1     1          -0.34
   502 H Wakefield HS, VA       15- 3      12    19           0.00
   506 A South County, Lorton   11-10       1     4    -     -3.20
   508 H South Lakes            10- 8       2     5    -     -3.20
   512 A Westfield, VA           8-19     -11   -16           0.00
   515 H South Lakes             9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.20
   521 H Washington-Lee          9- 5       4     1    +      2.66
   523 A James Madison, VA       2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   528 H Robinson Secondary, VA 12-22     -10    -8          -1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Falls Church            9- 4       5    13    --    -5.00
   515 H South Lakes             9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.20
   331 H Chantilly              16-10       6     9    -     -3.56
   408 A McLean, VA             13-14      -1     1    -     -2.43
   423 A Annandale              10- 9  o    1     4    -     -3.28
   426 A Hayfield               11-10       1     4    -     -3.88
   506 A South County, Lorton   11-10       1     4    -     -3.20
   508 H South Lakes            10- 8       2     5    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Washington-Lee          9- 5       4     1    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.27 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.11 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   130
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/