Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Shannon Holliday      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.0636444    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  ( 6-11, 78.8)     6-13   
 325 H Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 79.2)     9-14   
 331 A Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 90.6)     0-19   
 402 A Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 75.3)    13-12 2o
 404 H Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 81.3)    10-14   
 408 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (13- 2, 88.3)    11-22   
 411 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (10- 5, 76.8)    21-19   
 422 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 8, 67.7)    17-14   
 424 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 3, 79.9)    11-12   
 428 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 73.3)    13-21   
 430 H Northwood, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 0- 7, 55.0)    19- 5   
 505 A Springbrook            MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 5, 67.5)    15- 6   
 507 A Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 7, 59.4)    20- 9   
 509 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 73.3)    16-10   
 512 A Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 69.9)    11- 9   
 514 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 81.3)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Bullis School           6-13      -7    -3          n/a  
   325 H Damascus                9-14      -5    -4          -0.17
   331 A Glenelg HS              0-19     -19   -17           0.00
   402 A Richard Montgomery, MD 13-12 2o    1    -2    +      3.10
   404 H Whitman, MD            10-14      -4    -6    +      2.89
   408 A Sherwood, MD           11-22     -11   -15           0.00
   411 A Walter Johnson         21-19       2    -3    ++     5.63
   422 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   17-14       3     6    -     -3.74
   424 A Winston Churchill      11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.69
   428 A Quince Orchard         13-21      -8     0    ---   -7.90
   430 H Northwood, MD          19- 5      14    19           0.00
   505 A Springbrook            15- 6       9     5    +      3.33
   507 A Magruder               20- 9      11    13           0.00
   509 A Quince Orchard         16-10       6     0    +++    6.10
   512 A Clarksburg             11- 9       2     3          -1.27
   514 A Whitman, MD             7-15      -8    -8           0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Quince Orchard         13-21      -8     0    ---   -7.90
   321 H Bullis School           6-13      -7    -3    -          
   422 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   17-14       3     6    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Quince Orchard         16-10       6     0    +++    6.10
   411 A Walter Johnson         21-19       2    -3    ++     5.63
   424 A Winston Churchill      11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.69
   402 A Richard Montgomery, MD 13-12 2o    1    -2    +      3.10
   404 H Whitman, MD            10-14      -4    -6    +      2.89
   505 A Springbrook            15- 6       9     5    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.81 Local Power Rank...........    67
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.84 Local SOS Rank.............    67
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   136
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    81
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/