Region = VA 1A South            
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Tara Hohenshelt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2960892    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Salem, VA              VA 1A South   (14- 4, 85.4)     6-10   
 408 H Annandale              VA 6A North   ( 4-11, 79.1)    11- 7   
 410 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     (19- 5, 97.1)     4-19   
 411 A Fluvanna               VA 1A South   ( 0-14, 58.0)    18- 1   
 415 H Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    20-12   
 418 H Charlottesville        VA 1A South   ( 6- 6, 75.8)    18- 9   
 426 H Broad Run              VA 1A North   (10- 8, 85.4)     7- 5   
 429 H Fluvanna               VA 1A South   ( 0-14, 58.0)    16- 1   
 430 H St. Catherine's, VA    VA Pr LIS     ( 9- 9, 84.9)     6-13   
 502 H Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    11-12 3o
 506 A Charlottesville        VA 1A South   ( 6- 6, 75.8)    21-17   
 509 A Monticello, VA         VA 1A South   ( 7- 7, 76.2)    20-11   
 513 H Monticello, VA         VA 1A South   ( 7- 7, 76.2)    17-13   
 520 H Monticello, VA         VA 1A South   ( 7- 7, 76.2)    18- 9   
 523 H Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    15-12   
 529 H E.C. Glass             VA 1A South   ( 5-10, 69.7)    18- 6   
 603 A Douglas Freeman        VA 1A South   (16- 2, 84.9)    13- 9   
 605 A Salem, VA              VA 1A South   (14- 4, 85.4)    10- 9   
 610 H Loudoun Valley         VA 1A North   (17- 6, 90.0)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Salem, VA               6-10      -4     0    -     -3.34
   408 H Annandale              11- 7       4     5          -1.71
   410 A St. Anne's-Belfield     4-19     -15   -14           0.00
   411 A Fluvanna               18- 1      17    25           0.00
   415 H Albemarle              20-12       8     8          -0.74
   418 H Charlottesville        18- 9       9     9          -0.03
   426 H Broad Run               7- 5       2     0    +      2.56
   429 H Fluvanna               16- 1      15    26           0.00
   430 H St. Catherine's, VA     6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.89
   502 H Albemarle              11-12 3o   -1     8    ---   -9.74
   506 A Charlottesville        21-17       4     7    -     -3.24
   509 A Monticello, VA         20-11       9     6    +      2.24
   513 H Monticello, VA         17-13       4     8    --    -4.55
   520 H Monticello, VA         18- 9       9     8           0.45
   523 H Albemarle              15-12       3     8    --    -5.74
   529 H E.C. Glass             18- 6      12    15           0.00
   603 A Douglas Freeman        13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.93
   605 A Salem, VA              10- 9       1    -2    +      3.45
   610 H Loudoun Valley          7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H St. Catherine's, VA     6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.89
   502 H Albemarle              11-12 3o   -1     8    ---   -9.74
   513 H Monticello, VA         17-13       4     8    --    -4.55
   523 H Albemarle              15-12       3     8    --    -5.74
   320 H Salem, VA               6-10      -4     0    -     -3.34
   506 A Charlottesville        21-17       4     7    -     -3.24
   610 H Loudoun Valley          7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 A Douglas Freeman        13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.93
   426 H Broad Run               7- 5       2     0    +      2.56
   509 A Monticello, VA         20-11       9     6    +      2.24
   605 A Salem, VA              10- 9       1    -2    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.90 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.57 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   123
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/