White Bear Lake Area          3 - 7


 
                                     Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Bears                Coach  =   Mindy Evers           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.3168793    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 421 A Forest Lake            MN    MSHSL   ( 3- 9, 70.3)    15-13   
 423 A Park of Cottage Grove  MN    MSHSL   (11- 4, 82.6)     9-10   
 430 A Mounds View            MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 7, 76.9)     5- 9   
 501 H Roseville Area         MN    MSHSL   ( 3-10, 74.4)     6- 4   
 505 H East Ridge, MN         MN    MSHSL   (13- 3, 87.0)     4-15   
 507 A Hastings, MN           MN    MSHSL   ( 0-12, 59.9)   
 510 H Delano                 MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 3, 77.8)    13-15   
 512 H Stillwater Area        MN    MSHSL   (15- 4, 92.0)     5-20   
 514 A Woodbury               MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 66.9)    10- 9   
 516 A Rochester Century, MN  MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 5, 76.4)     7- 8   
 520 H Cretin-Derham Hall     MN    MSHSL   (10- 5, 85.5)     3-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Forest Lake            15-13       2     0           1.29
   423 A Park of Cottage Grove   9-10      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   430 A Mounds View             5- 9      -4    -5           1.88
   501 H Roseville Area          6- 4       2    -1    +      3.18
   505 H East Ridge, MN          4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   510 H Delano                 13-15      -2    -4    +      2.56
   512 H Stillwater Area         5-20     -15   -18           0.00
   514 A Woodbury               10- 9       1     4    -     -3.10
   516 A Rochester Century, MN   7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.43
   520 H Cretin-Derham Hall      3-17     -14   -12           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Woodbury               10- 9       1     4    -     -3.10


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Park of Cottage Grove   9-10      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   516 A Rochester Century, MN   7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.43
   501 H Roseville Area          6- 4       2    -1    +      3.18
   510 H Delano                 13-15      -2    -4    +      2.56




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.11 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.35 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
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