Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9575577    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 82.9)    18-11   
 327 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.7)     5-13   
 402 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 70.9)    16- 5   
 404 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.3)    11-12   
 405 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 3, 96.1)    14-13 2o
 408 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4- 9, 75.2)   
 410 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 80.3)    18- 8   
 414 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 84.2)    13-12  o
 421 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.6)    15- 7   
 423 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 96.3)     9-12   
 429 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.3)     7-17   
 502 A Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 91.8)     7-17   
 507 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 89.2)    17- 4   
 509 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-10, 74.8)    14- 4   
 514 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 90.6)     6-17   
 516 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 89.2)    10-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Longwood               18-11       7     4    +      2.77
   327 A Northport               5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.63
   402 A Walt Whitman, NY       16- 5      11    15           0.00
   404 A Sachem East            11-12      -1    -1           0.97
   405 H Yorktown, NY           14-13 2o    1    -8          n/a  
   410 H Commack                18- 8      10     6    +      3.24
   414 H East Islip             13-12  o    1     2          -1.89
   421 A Smithtown East         15- 7       8    -2    +++   10.31
   423 A West Islip              9-12      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   429 H Middle Country          7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   502 A Hauppauge               7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.54
   507 H West Babylon           17- 4      13    -2    +++   12.15
   509 A Lindenhurst            14- 4      10    11           0.00
   514 H Bay Shore               6-17     -11    -3    ---   -6.45
   516 A West Babylon           10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Bay Shore               6-17     -11    -3    ---   -6.45
   327 A Northport               5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.63
   429 H Middle Country          7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   502 A Hauppauge               7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.54
   516 A West Babylon           10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Yorktown, NY           14-13 2o    1    -8    +++        
   421 A Smithtown East         15- 7       8    -2    +++   10.31
   423 A West Islip              9-12      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   507 H West Babylon           17- 4      13    -2    +++   12.15
   325 H Longwood               18-11       7     4    +      2.77
   410 H Commack                18- 8      10     6    +      3.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.70 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.33 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/