Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Carin Peterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.8105698    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 95.8)     7- 6   
 328 A Chesapeake, Pasadena   MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 83.0)    13- 3   
 404 H South River            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 90.5)    11- 9   
 407 A Atholton               MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 6, 84.6)    12- 3   
 408 A Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 8, 80.4)    18- 7   
 411 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 95.8)     8-15   
 415 H South River            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 90.5)    12-10   
 417 N Queen Anne's County    MD    2A-1A   (16- 3, 92.4)     4- 7   
 419 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   (10- 8, 86.9)    10- 7   
 425 H Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A-1A   (10- 5, 85.9)    11- 9   
 428 A Northeast, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 4-11, 75.4)    14- 4   
 430 A Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 7, 82.8)    15- 7   
 502 H Annapolis, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 84.7)    18- 2   
 513 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 95.8)    12-10   
 514 H Leonardtown            MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 86.4)    15- 5   
 516 N Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 81.3)    17- 2   
 521 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   (10- 8, 86.9)    15- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Broadneck               7- 6       1     0           1.66
   328 A Chesapeake, Pasadena   13- 3      10    12           0.00
   404 H South River            11- 9       2     5    -     -3.91
   407 A Atholton               12- 3       9    10          -1.00
   408 A Old Mill               18- 7      11    14           0.00
   411 H Broadneck               8-15      -7     0    ---   -7.55
   415 H South River            12-10       2     5    -     -3.91
   417 N Queen Anne's County     4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.38
   419 N Catonsville            10- 7       3     8    --    -5.83
   425 H Southern, Anne Arundel 11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   428 A Northeast, MD          14- 4      10    19           0.00
   430 A Arundel                15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   502 H Annapolis, MD          18- 2      16    11           0.00
   513 H Broadneck              12-10       2     0           1.45
   514 H Leonardtown            15- 5      10    10           0.00
   516 N Whitman, MD            17- 2      15    14           0.00
   521 N Catonsville            15- 5      10     8           1.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Broadneck               8-15      -7     0    ---   -7.55
   417 N Queen Anne's County     4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.38
   425 H Southern, Anne Arundel 11- 9       2    10    ---   -8.00
   419 N Catonsville            10- 7       3     8    --    -5.83
   404 H South River            11- 9       2     5    -     -3.91
   415 H South River            12-10       2     5    -     -3.91
   430 A Arundel                15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.76 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.15 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   11.7
/