Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4381714    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 A Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    ( 9-10, 88.1)     9- 7   
 313 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 6-11, 76.7)    20- 6   
 326 N Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  (12- 8, 80.1)    17- 7   
 327 N Barron Collier         FL    Dist 28 (18- 6, 90.4)     8- 7   
 327 N Friends' Central       PA    Friend  (15- 9, 87.4)    19-12   
 331 H Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     (12- 9, 90.9)     9- 8   
 403 H Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (17- 8, 96.2)    11-19   
 406 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL    GCAC    (24- 5, 99.9)     6-17   
 408 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (14- 6, 89.7)     7-14   
 410 A Calverton School       MD    CALL    ( 9- 6, 96.3)    16-10   
 415 H Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  ( 5-14, 76.4)    10-19   
 416 H Springfield (DelCo)    PA    Centrl  (24- 3, 97.5)     6-14   
 422 H Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  ( 6-11, 78.8)    15-10   
 424 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 7-11, 82.8)    11-10   
 429 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (27- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 501 A Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (12- 8, 84.8)     9-10  o
 506 H National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   ( 7- 8, 78.6)    16-10   
 510 A Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (12- 8, 84.8)    10- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Holy Cross, MD          9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.61
   313 H St. John's College, DC 20- 6      14    11           0.00
   326 N Potomac School         17- 7      10     6    +      3.98
   327 N Barron Collier          8- 7       1    -4          n/a  
   327 N Friends' Central       19-12       7    -1          n/a  
   331 H Germantown Academy      9- 8       1    -3          n/a  
   403 H Georgetown Visitation  11-19      -8    -8           0.46
   406 H Loyola Academy, IL      6-17     -11   -12          n/a  
   408 A Flint Hill School       7-14      -7    -5          -1.85
   410 A Calverton School       16-10       6   -12          n/a  
   415 H Episcopal, VA          10-19      -9    11    ---  -19.00
   416 H Springfield (DelCo)     6-14      -8   -10          n/a  
   422 H Bullis School          15-10       5     8    -     -3.91
   424 H Holton-Arms School     11-10       1     4    -     -3.84
   429 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   501 A Holy Child, MD          9-10  o   -1     0          -0.74
   506 H National Cathedral, DC 16-10       6     9    -     -3.04
   510 A Holy Child, MD         10- 9       1     0           1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Episcopal, VA          10-19      -9    11    ---  -19.00
   422 H Bullis School          15-10       5     8    -     -3.91
   424 H Holton-Arms School     11-10       1     4    -     -3.84
   506 H National Cathedral, DC 16-10       6     9    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 N Friends' Central       19-12       7    -1    +++        
   410 A Calverton School       16-10       6   -12    +++        
   311 A Holy Cross, MD          9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.61
   327 N Barron Collier          8- 7       1    -4    ++         
   331 H Germantown Academy      9- 8       1    -3    ++         
   326 N Potomac School         17- 7      10     6    +      3.98
   416 H Springfield (DelCo)     6-14      -8   -10    +          
   429 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.11 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.16 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/