Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Erica McMahon         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.8164291    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Acton-Boxborough       MA    East D1 (14- 5, 89.7)     8-15   
 401 A Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 6-11, 72.3)    22-10   
 403 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (12- 6, 86.0)    22-21   
 405 A Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  (10- 8, 73.0)    17- 7   
 408 A Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 4-14, 69.3)    23-12   
 411 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (12- 8, 82.7)    22-14   
 412 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 72.9)    14- 7   
 417 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)     9-12   
 419 H Littleton, MA          MA    C/W D2  (14- 6, 78.4)    22-11   
 422 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (17- 5, 80.0)    19- 7   
 425 A Chelmsford             MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 77.9)    18-12   
 429 A North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.6)    19- 7   
 501 H Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 6-11, 72.3)    19- 5   
 503 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 84.6)    18-17   
 506 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (12- 6, 86.0)    15-16  o
 508 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 4-14, 69.3)    23-10   
 513 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (12- 8, 82.7)    13-15   
 515 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 84.6)    11-16   
 519 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (17- 3, 91.9)     9-19   
 521 H North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.6)    18- 7   
 531 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 82.5)    15-11   
 603 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Acton-Boxborough        8-15      -7    -5          -1.95
   401 A Nashoba Regional       22-10      12    12           0.00
   403 H Westborough            22-21       1     0           1.18
   405 A Nipmuc                 17- 7      10    11           0.00
   408 A Wachusett              23-12      11    15           0.00
   411 H Groton-Dunstable       22-14       8     3    ++     4.94
   412 A Tantasqua              14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   417 H Minnechaug              9-12      -3    -4           1.07
   419 H Littleton, MA          22-11      11     7    +      2.56
   422 A Grafton Memorial, MA   19- 7      12     4    ++     5.39
   425 A Chelmsford             18-12       6     6          -0.77
   429 A North Middlesex        19- 7      12    13           0.00
   501 H Nashoba Regional       19- 5      14    13           0.00
   503 H Algonquin              18-17       1     1          -0.26
   506 A Westborough            15-16  o   -1    -1           0.34
   508 H Wachusett              23-10      13    16           0.00
   513 A Groton-Dunstable       13-15      -2     1    -     -3.91
   515 A Algonquin              11-16      -5     0    --    -5.10
   519 H Concord-Carlisle        9-19     -10    -6    -     -3.96
   521 H North Middlesex        18- 7      11    14           0.00
   531 H East Longmeadow        15-11       4     3           0.64
   603 A Minnechaug              4-17     -13    -5    --    -4.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Algonquin              11-16      -5     0    --    -5.10
   603 A Minnechaug              4-17     -13    -5    --    -4.77
   412 A Tantasqua              14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   513 A Groton-Dunstable       13-15      -2     1    -     -3.91
   519 H Concord-Carlisle        9-19     -10    -6    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Groton-Dunstable       22-14       8     3    ++     4.94
   422 A Grafton Memorial, MA   19- 7      12     4    ++     5.39
   419 H Littleton, MA          22-11      11     7    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.23 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.06 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   151
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/