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Region = MA C/W D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Erica McMahonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.8164291 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Acton-Boxborough MA East D1 (14- 5, 89.7) 8-15 401 A Nashoba Regional MA C/W D1 ( 6-11, 72.3) 22-10 403 H Westborough MA C/W D1 (12- 6, 86.0) 22-21 405 A Nipmuc MA C/W D2 (10- 8, 73.0) 17- 7 408 A Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 4-14, 69.3) 23-12 411 H Groton-Dunstable MA C/W D2 (12- 8, 82.7) 22-14 412 A Tantasqua MA C/W D1 ( 9- 9, 72.9) 14- 7 417 H Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (17- 3, 89.9) 9-12 419 H Littleton, MA MA C/W D2 (14- 6, 78.4) 22-11 422 A Grafton Memorial, MA MA C/W D2 (17- 5, 80.0) 19- 7 425 A Chelmsford MA No D1 ( 8-10, 77.9) 18-12 429 A North Middlesex MA C/W D1 ( 7-11, 71.6) 19- 7 501 H Nashoba Regional MA C/W D1 ( 6-11, 72.3) 19- 5 503 H Algonquin MA C/W D1 (13- 7, 84.6) 18-17 506 A Westborough MA C/W D1 (12- 6, 86.0) 15-16 o 508 H Wachusett MA C/W D1 ( 4-14, 69.3) 23-10 513 A Groton-Dunstable MA C/W D2 (12- 8, 82.7) 13-15 515 A Algonquin MA C/W D1 (13- 7, 84.6) 11-16 519 H Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (17- 3, 91.9) 9-19 521 H North Middlesex MA C/W D1 ( 7-11, 71.6) 18- 7 531 H East Longmeadow MA C/W D1 (14- 4, 82.5) 15-11 603 A Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (17- 3, 89.9) 4-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Acton-Boxborough 8-15 -7 -5 -1.95 401 A Nashoba Regional 22-10 12 12 0.00 403 H Westborough 22-21 1 0 1.18 405 A Nipmuc 17- 7 10 11 0.00 408 A Wachusett 23-12 11 15 0.00 411 H Groton-Dunstable 22-14 8 3 ++ 4.94 412 A Tantasqua 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00 417 H Minnechaug 9-12 -3 -4 1.07 419 H Littleton, MA 22-11 11 7 + 2.56 422 A Grafton Memorial, MA 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.39 425 A Chelmsford 18-12 6 6 -0.77 429 A North Middlesex 19- 7 12 13 0.00 501 H Nashoba Regional 19- 5 14 13 0.00 503 H Algonquin 18-17 1 1 -0.26 506 A Westborough 15-16 o -1 -1 0.34 508 H Wachusett 23-10 13 16 0.00 513 A Groton-Dunstable 13-15 -2 1 - -3.91 515 A Algonquin 11-16 -5 0 -- -5.10 519 H Concord-Carlisle 9-19 -10 -6 - -3.96 521 H North Middlesex 18- 7 11 14 0.00 531 H East Longmeadow 15-11 4 3 0.64 603 A Minnechaug 4-17 -13 -5 -- -4.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Algonquin 11-16 -5 0 -- -5.10 603 A Minnechaug 4-17 -13 -5 -- -4.77 412 A Tantasqua 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00 513 A Groton-Dunstable 13-15 -2 1 - -3.91 519 H Concord-Carlisle 9-19 -10 -6 - -3.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Groton-Dunstable 22-14 8 3 ++ 4.94 422 A Grafton Memorial, MA 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.39 419 H Littleton, MA 22-11 11 7 + 2.56/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.23 Local Power Rank........... 27 Local SOS Rating......... 58.06 Local SOS Rank............. 34 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 27 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 151 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 16.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7