Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3709793    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 86.1)    10- 7   
 325 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 91.8)    10- 7   
 327 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 90.6)     8-13   
 402 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 81.0)    14- 5   
 404 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 86.7)    12-11   
 408 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 6, 80.8)    15- 4   
 410 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-12, 73.8)    21-12   
 414 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.3)    11-18   
 423 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 89.2)     7-10   
 426 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-10, 75.7)    15- 5   
 429 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 84.2)    14-13  o
 502 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.1)     9-10   
 507 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 96.3)     5-16   
 509 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.5)    14- 7   
 514 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.7)    11- 9   
 516 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 82.9)    11- 8   
 519 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.3)    12-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Miller Place           10- 7       3     1           1.18
   325 H Hauppauge              10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.10
   327 A Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   402 A Sachem North           14- 5       9     6    +      2.09
   404 H Ward Melville          12-11       1     1          -0.97
   408 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 4      11     7    +      2.13
   410 H North Babylon          21-12       9    14          -1.00
   414 A Middle Country         11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.57
   423 A West Babylon            7-10      -3    -1          -1.66
   426 H Half Hollow Hills      15- 5      10    12           0.00
   429 A East Islip             14-13  o    1     3    -     -2.70
   502 A Smithtown West          9-10      -1     0          -0.76
   507 H West Islip              5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.35
   509 A Connetquot             14- 7       7     6           0.64
   514 H Northport              11- 9       2    -1    +      3.02
   516 H Longwood               11- 8       3     5    -     -2.81
   519 A Middle Country         12-21      -9    -3    --    -5.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Middle Country         12-21      -9    -3    --    -5.57
   327 A Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   414 A Middle Country         11-18      -7    -3    -     -3.57
   429 A East Islip             14-13  o    1     3    -     -2.70
   507 H West Islip              5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.35
   516 H Longwood               11- 8       3     5    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Hauppauge              10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.10
   402 A Sachem North           14- 5       9     6    +      2.09
   408 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 4      11     7    +      2.13
   514 H Northport              11- 9       2    -1    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.28 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.07 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/