Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.1785049    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 98.2)    13- 7   
 402 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 85.7)    15- 4   
 404 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 83.5)    12- 4   
 407 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.3)    13-11   
 410 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 95.0)    11- 9   
 412 H Nichols School         NY    Private (11- 6, 89.7)    18- 5   
 425 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 87.1)     9- 4   
 429 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 83.5)    15- 5   
 501 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.4)    18- 3   
 503 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 94.5)     8- 9   
 505 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.9)    10- 6   
 507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 94.5)    14-12   
 508 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 95.0)     9-10   
 513 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 96.5)    13- 7   
 514 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 81.8)    15- 2   
 515 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 87.0)    11- 5   
 520 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 74.1)    17- 1   
 522 N Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 89.0)    10- 8   
 528 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 96.5)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Corning                13- 7       6     0          n/a  
   402 H Hilton                 15- 4      11    14           0.00
   404 H Canandaigua Academy    12- 4       8    16    -     -2.00
   407 H Victor                 13-11       2     1           0.99
   410 A Irondequoit            11- 9       2     2          -0.97
   412 H Nichols School         18- 5      13    10          n/a  
   425 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   429 A Canandaigua Academy    15- 5      10    14           0.00
   501 H Webster Thomas         18- 3      15     5    ++     4.01
   503 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.40
   505 A Brighton, NY           10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.96
   507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     14-12       2     5    -     -3.82
   508 H Irondequoit             9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.38
   513 H Pittsford              13- 7       6     3    +      2.15
   514 A Fairport               15- 2      13    16           0.00
   515 A Webster Schroeder      11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   520 H Olympia-Arcadia        17- 1      16    26           0.00
   522 N Our Lady of Mercy, NY  10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   528 N Pittsford               9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Irondequoit             9-10      -1     5    ---   -6.38
   522 N Our Lady of Mercy, NY  10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   425 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   503 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.40
   515 A Webster Schroeder      11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   404 H Canandaigua Academy    12- 4       8    16    -     -2.00
   507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     14-12       2     5    -     -3.82
   528 N Pittsford               9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Corning                13- 7       6     0    ++         
   501 H Webster Thomas         18- 3      15     5    ++     4.01
   505 A Brighton, NY           10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.96
   513 H Pittsford              13- 7       6     3    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.15 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.38 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   21.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.235.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/