Region = MD    2A-1A            
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Beth Nave             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9991302    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 86.8)    10- 9   
 331 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 8, 74.2)    20- 3   
 401 H Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 9, 82.1)    12- 6   
 403 A Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 5, 81.9)    15-10   
 407 A Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 93.3)     8- 7   
 408 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 1-12, 64.1)    21- 8   
 411 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 6, 81.9)    19- 7   
 415 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 87.7)     8- 7   
 417 H Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (18- 1, 95.7)     5-15   
 417 H Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (17- 1, 94.7)     4-15   
 423 A Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 1-12, 65.8)    19- 2   
 425 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 5- 8, 74.0)    16- 4   
 428 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 4, 88.5)     9- 8  o
 501 A Francis Scott Key      MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 9, 72.8)    14- 3   
 509 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 8, 74.2)    21- 7   
 512 H North Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   (12- 3, 84.0)    14- 9   
 514 H Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 79.2)    11- 3   
 517 N Stephen Decatur, MD    MD    3A-2A   (14- 3, 90.3)    10- 8   
 521 N Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (17- 2, 99.9)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Westminster, MD        10- 9       1     2          -1.96
   331 H Urbana                 20- 3      17    16           0.00
   401 H Winters Mill           12- 6       6     8    -     -2.91
   403 A Walkersville           15-10       5     7    -     -2.83
   407 A Century, MD             8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.54
   408 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    21- 8      13    25           0.00
   411 H Tuscarora, MD          19- 7      12     9           0.88
   415 H Middletown, MD          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.25
   417 H Manchester Valley       5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.27
   417 H Hereford                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.24
   423 A Linganore              19- 2      17    23           0.00
   425 H Frederick              16- 4      12    16           0.00
   428 H Liberty, MD             9- 8  o    1     2          -1.49
   501 A Francis Scott Key      14- 3      11    16           0.00
   509 H Urbana                 21- 7      14    16           0.00
   512 H North Hagerstown       14- 9       5     6          -1.99
   514 H Damascus               11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   517 N Stephen Decatur, MD    10- 8       2     0           1.89
   521 N Marriotts Ridge         5-18     -13    -9          -0.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Hereford                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.24
   417 H Manchester Valley       5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.27
   401 H Winters Mill           12- 6       6     8    -     -2.91
   403 A Walkersville           15-10       5     7    -     -2.83
   415 H Middletown, MD          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.25
   514 H Damascus               11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Century, MD             8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.37 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.79 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/