Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kristin Janese/Trish P

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2978516    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 422 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (15- 3, 96.7)     9-19   
 423 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.3)    11- 8   
 424 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 94.4)     7-16   
 425 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3- 8, 76.4)    15- 7   
 428 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-12, 70.1)    13- 2   
 502 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 83.7)     9- 8   
 503 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 78.2)    13- 9   
 505 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.3)    19-10   
 506 H Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 68.5)    10- 3   
 507 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3- 8, 76.4)    13- 8   
 509 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-12, 70.1)    13- 2   
 512 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 76.0)    18- 4   
 513 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 76.0)    16- 4   
 516 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N NY    Martin  (12- 3, 85.4)    17-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Williamsville North     9-19     -10    -8          -1.85
   423 A Niagara Falls          11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   424 H Lake Shore              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.53
   425 H Lockport               15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   428 A North Tonawanda        13- 2      11    18           0.00
   502 H East Aurora             9- 8       1     6    --    -5.27
   503 A Eden                   13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   505 H Niagara Falls          19-10       9    11          -1.00
   506 H Springville-Griffith   10- 3       7    21    -     -3.00
   507 A Lockport               13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   509 H North Tonawanda        13- 2      11    19           0.00
   512 A Grand Island           18- 4      14    12           0.00
   513 H Grand Island           16- 4      12    13           0.00
   516 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N 17-10       7     4    +      2.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Niagara Falls          11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   503 A Eden                   13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   424 H Lake Shore              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.53
   502 H East Aurora             9- 8       1     6    --    -5.27
   507 A Lockport               13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   425 H Lockport               15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   506 H Springville-Griffith   10- 3       7    21    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N 17-10       7     4    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.26 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.89 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   11.0
/