Region = PA    Mid PA           
   Nickname = A Polar Bears          Coach  =   Jeff Mauck            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.9371033    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Elizabethtown Area     PA    Indep   (12- 6, 79.2)     8-12   
 329 H Harrisburg CS          PA    Indep   ( 1- 9, 54.0)    16- 3   
 331 A Wyomissing Area        PA    Berks   ( 5- 8, 74.6)     3-14   
 402 H Trinity Area, PA       PA    Indep   ( 3- 9, 64.4)   
 405 A South Western          PA    York D1 (14- 5, 83.1)     5-16   
 407 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid PA  (12- 6, 81.9)     6-17   
 408 A Palmyra Area, PA       PA    Mid PA  ( 5-11, 72.0)     3-14   
 409 H Trinity, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 5, 70.4)     4- 7   
 409 H Trinity Area, PA       PA    Indep   ( 3- 9, 64.4)     4- 7   
 410 H Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 86.3)     3-26   
 415 A Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 77.5)     3-17   
 417 H State College Area     PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 89.0)     4-25   
 421 A Trinity, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 7- 5, 70.4)    13- 8   
 423 H Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 2-15, 61.2)     7- 8   
 424 A Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 2-15, 61.2)     9- 7   
 501 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 76.0)     7-19   
 503 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  (10- 8, 70.6)     8- 9   
 505 A Harrisburg CS          PA    Indep   ( 1- 9, 54.0)    15- 7   
 506 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (19- 4, 93.6)     5-26   
 507 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  (10- 8, 70.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Elizabethtown Area      8-12      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   329 H Harrisburg CS          16- 3      13    10           0.00
   331 A Wyomissing Area         3-14     -11   -11           0.00
   405 A South Western           5-16     -11   -19           0.00
   407 H Lower Dauphin           6-17     -11   -17           0.00
   408 A Palmyra Area, PA        3-14     -11    -8          -1.49
   409 H Trinity, PA             4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.78
   409 H Trinity Area, PA        4- 7      -3     0          n/a  
   410 H Hershey                 3-26     -23   -21           0.00
   415 A Carlisle Area           3-17     -14   -14           0.00
   417 H State College Area      4-25     -21   -24           0.00
   421 A Trinity, PA            13- 8       5    -6    +++   11.91
   423 H Chambersburg Area       7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.45
   424 A Chambersburg Area       9- 7       2     2          -0.32
   501 A Central Dauphin         7-19     -12   -12           0.00
   503 A Central Dauphin East    8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.08
   505 A Harrisburg CS          15- 7       8     9          -1.46
   506 H Cumberland Valley       5-26     -21   -29           0.00
   507 H Central Dauphin East   10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Chambersburg Area       7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.45
   409 H Trinity Area, PA        4- 7      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Elizabethtown Area      8-12      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   421 A Trinity, PA            13- 8       5    -6    +++   11.91
   503 A Central Dauphin East    8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.08
   507 H Central Dauphin East   10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.96
   409 H Trinity, PA             4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.04 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.62 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/