Mt. Ararat                    5 - 6


 
                                     Region = ME    A East           
   Nickname = E Eagles               Coach  =   Jill Carney           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.2585602    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 425 A Deering                ME    A East  ( 3- 9, 76.4)     7- 5   
 505 A Lewiston               ME    A East  ( 5- 5, 86.2)     7- 8   
 506 H Messalonskee           ME    A East  (10- 4, 88.9)    12-13   
 508 A Cony                   ME    A East  ( 8- 3, 88.9)    13-15   
 510 A North Yarmouth Acad    ME    B East  ( 5-11, 84.2)     3- 6   
 513 H Oxford Hills           ME    A East  ( 1-11, 73.9)    14- 4   
 515 A Brunswick, ME          ME    A East  ( 6- 7, 82.4)     6- 4   
 520 H Edward Little          ME    A East  ( 0- 8, 65.5)    15- 3   
 522 A Messalonskee           ME    A East  (10- 4, 88.9)    11-15   
 528 H Brunswick, ME          ME    A East  ( 6- 7, 82.4)     9- 6   
 530 H Cony                   ME    A East  ( 8- 3, 88.9)   
 604 A Edward Little          ME    A East  ( 0- 8, 65.5)   
 611 A Messalonskee           ME    A East  (10- 4, 88.9)     8- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Deering                 7- 5       2     6    --    -4.87
   505 A Lewiston                7- 8      -1    -2           1.89
   506 H Messalonskee           12-13      -1    -3    +      2.59
   508 A Cony                   13-15      -2    -5    +      3.62
   510 A North Yarmouth Acad     3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.09
   513 H Oxford Hills           14- 4      10    11           0.00
   515 A Brunswick, ME           6- 4       2     0           1.12
   520 H Edward Little          15- 3      12    19           0.00
   522 A Messalonskee           11-15      -4    -5           1.61
   528 H Brunswick, ME           9- 6       3     2           0.10
   611 A Messalonskee            8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.61


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Deering                 7- 5       2     6    --    -4.87
   510 A North Yarmouth Acad     3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.09


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   611 A Messalonskee            8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.61
   506 H Messalonskee           12-13      -1    -3    +      2.59
   508 A Cony                   13-15      -2    -5    +      3.62




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.30 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.54 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7


  
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