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Region = MA No D2 Nickname = A Hornets Coach = Sarah HolchGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.7854996 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Marblehead MA No D2 (15- 8, 81.2) 11- 9 410 A Newburyport MA No D2 (16- 4, 83.5) 14- 9 411 A Lynnfield MA No D2 ( 9- 9, 73.1) 11- 4 416 A North Reading MA No D2 ( 5-11, 69.5) 13- 6 417 A Wayland MA East D2 (16- 5, 90.4) 8-13 421 A Triton Regional, MA MA No D2 (10- 8, 74.0) 18- 8 423 A North Andover MA No D1 (21- 2, 90.6) 10-16 425 H Georgetown, MA MA No D2 ( 0-18, 60.2) 16- 2 428 A Pentucket Regional MA No D2 ( 6-12, 72.4) 10-11 429 H Hamilton-Wenham MA No D2 ( 8- 9, 74.6) 7- 8 501 A Gloucester, MA MA No D1 ( 4-11, 65.4) 17- 6 505 H Danvers MA No D2 (15- 4, 82.4) 9-13 509 H Ipswich MA No D2 (11- 6, 80.4) 8- 9 513 H Masconomet MA No D1 (15- 6, 85.9) 11-14 515 H Beverly MA No D1 (11- 8, 77.5) 14-12 519 H Bishop Fenwick, MA MA No D2 (13- 8, 78.1) 18- 9 527 H St. Mary's, Lynn MA No D2 (10-11, 64.3) 17- 5 529 A Austin Prep, MA MA No D2 (18- 4, 79.5) 12-11 604 A Newburyport MA No D2 (16- 4, 83.5) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Marblehead 11- 9 2 0 + 2.47 410 A Newburyport 14- 9 5 -3 +++ 8.90 411 A Lynnfield 11- 4 7 6 0.52 416 A North Reading 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 417 A Wayland 8-13 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 421 A Triton Regional, MA 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.46 423 A North Andover 10-16 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 425 H Georgetown, MA 16- 2 14 20 0.00 428 A Pentucket Regional 10-11 -1 7 --- -8.17 429 H Hamilton-Wenham 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.09 501 A Gloucester, MA 17- 6 11 14 0.00 505 H Danvers 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.28 509 H Ipswich 8- 9 -1 0 -1.32 513 H Masconomet 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.15 515 H Beverly 14-12 2 3 -1.26 519 H Bishop Fenwick, MA 18- 9 9 2 +++ 6.38 527 H St. Mary's, Lynn 17- 5 12 16 0.00 529 A Austin Prep, MA 12-11 1 0 0.91 604 A Newburyport 8-10 -2 -3 1.90UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Pentucket Regional 10-11 -1 7 --- -8.17 429 H Hamilton-Wenham 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.09 416 A North Reading 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 505 H Danvers 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Newburyport 14- 9 5 -3 +++ 8.90 519 H Bishop Fenwick, MA 18- 9 9 2 +++ 6.38 417 A Wayland 8-13 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 421 A Triton Regional, MA 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.46 423 A North Andover 10-16 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 331 H Marblehead 11- 9 2 0 + 2.47 513 H Masconomet 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.15/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.14 Local Power Rank........... 52 Local SOS Rating......... 53.42 Local SOS Rank............. 66 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 43 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 92 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 73 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7