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Region = MA C/W D1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Steve DudeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.8150482 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Hotchkiss School NE (10- 2, 96.6) 16- 6 413 A John Jay-Cross River NY B Sec 1 (10- 7, 91.0) 15-11 414 H Agawam MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 79.5) 17- 5 417 A Governor's Academy NE ( 9- 7, 89.8) 17- 2 422 H South Hadley MA C/W D1 ( 9- 9, 75.8) 18- 2 425 A Notre Dame Acad, MA MA So D1 (20- 3, 96.1) 9-10 426 A Guilderland NY A Sec 2 (13- 5, 96.0) 17-10 428 A Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (17- 3, 89.9) 14- 4 430 H East Longmeadow MA C/W D1 (14- 4, 82.5) 16- 4 502 A Loomis Chaffee School NE (11- 5, 90.5) 13- 7 503 H Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (17- 3, 89.9) 15- 2 505 A Northampton, MA MA C/W D1 (13- 4, 81.7) 18- 1 508 H Northampton, MA MA C/W D1 (13- 4, 81.7) 19- 1 510 H New Canaan CT Class M (15- 7, 93.0) 16- 9 512 A Agawam MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 79.5) 19- 4 513 A Amherst-Pelham MA C/W D1 ( 4-13, 63.5) 17- 1 515 A Belchertown MA C/W D2 ( 8-11, 70.4) 18- 3 516 H West Springfield, MA MA C/W D1 ( 7-12, 71.3) 18- 1 519 A South Hadley MA C/W D1 ( 9- 9, 75.8) 18- 3 521 A Westfield HS, MA MA C/W D1 ( 8-10, 72.5) 19- 2 530 H Agawam MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 79.5) 19- 3 603 H Westborough MA C/W D1 (12- 6, 86.0) 13- 6 607 N Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (17- 3, 89.9) 15- 4 610 N Franklin, MA MA East D1 (19- 4, 92.5) 11- 7 614 N Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 0, 99.9) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Hotchkiss School 16- 6 10 1 n/a 413 A John Jay-Cross River 15-11 4 4 n/a 414 H Agawam 17- 5 12 18 0.00 417 A Governor's Academy 17- 2 15 6 n/a 422 H South Hadley 18- 2 16 21 0.00 425 A Notre Dame Acad, MA 9-10 -1 0 -1.27 426 A Guilderland 17-10 7 0 n/a 428 A Minnechaug 14- 4 10 6 + 3.56 430 H East Longmeadow 16- 4 12 15 0.00 502 A Loomis Chaffee School 13- 7 6 5 n/a 503 H Minnechaug 15- 2 13 7 + 2.40 505 A Northampton, MA 18- 1 17 14 0.00 508 H Northampton, MA 19- 1 18 15 0.00 510 H New Canaan 16- 9 7 4 n/a 512 A Agawam 19- 4 15 16 0.00 513 A Amherst-Pelham 17- 1 16 32 0.00 515 A Belchertown 18- 3 15 25 0.00 516 H West Springfield, MA 18- 1 17 26 0.00 519 A South Hadley 18- 3 15 20 0.00 521 A Westfield HS, MA 19- 2 17 23 0.00 530 H Agawam 19- 3 16 18 0.00 603 H Westborough 13- 6 7 11 - -3.00 607 N Minnechaug 15- 4 11 7 + 2.98 610 N Franklin, MA 11- 7 4 4 -0.36 614 N Westwood, MA 7- 9 -2 -2 0.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 603 H Westborough 13- 6 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Hotchkiss School 16- 6 10 1 +++ 426 A Guilderland 17-10 7 0 +++ 417 A Governor's Academy 17- 2 15 6 + 428 A Minnechaug 14- 4 10 6 + 3.56 503 H Minnechaug 15- 2 13 7 + 2.40 510 H New Canaan 16- 9 7 4 + 607 N Minnechaug 15- 4 11 7 + 2.98/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.91 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 67.32 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.73 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 23.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 23- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 11.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3