Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.8150482    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Hotchkiss School       NE            (10- 2, 96.6)    16- 6   
 413 A John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (10- 7, 91.0)    15-11   
 414 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 79.5)    17- 5   
 417 A Governor's Academy     NE            ( 9- 7, 89.8)    17- 2   
 422 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    18- 2   
 425 A Notre Dame Acad, MA    MA    So D1   (20- 3, 96.1)     9-10   
 426 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 96.0)    17-10   
 428 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)    14- 4   
 430 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 82.5)    16- 4   
 502 A Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (11- 5, 90.5)    13- 7   
 503 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)    15- 2   
 505 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)    18- 1   
 508 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)    19- 1   
 510 H New Canaan             CT    Class M (15- 7, 93.0)    16- 9   
 512 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 79.5)    19- 4   
 513 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 4-13, 63.5)    17- 1   
 515 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8-11, 70.4)    18- 3   
 516 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 71.3)    18- 1   
 519 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    18- 3   
 521 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 8-10, 72.5)    19- 2   
 530 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 79.5)    19- 3   
 603 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (12- 6, 86.0)    13- 6   
 607 N Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)    15- 4   
 610 N Franklin, MA           MA    East D1 (19- 4, 92.5)    11- 7   
 614 N Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 0, 99.9)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Hotchkiss School       16- 6      10     1          n/a  
   413 A John Jay-Cross River   15-11       4     4          n/a  
   414 H Agawam                 17- 5      12    18           0.00
   417 A Governor's Academy     17- 2      15     6          n/a  
   422 H South Hadley           18- 2      16    21           0.00
   425 A Notre Dame Acad, MA     9-10      -1     0          -1.27
   426 A Guilderland            17-10       7     0          n/a  
   428 A Minnechaug             14- 4      10     6    +      3.56
   430 H East Longmeadow        16- 4      12    15           0.00
   502 A Loomis Chaffee School  13- 7       6     5          n/a  
   503 H Minnechaug             15- 2      13     7    +      2.40
   505 A Northampton, MA        18- 1      17    14           0.00
   508 H Northampton, MA        19- 1      18    15           0.00
   510 H New Canaan             16- 9       7     4          n/a  
   512 A Agawam                 19- 4      15    16           0.00
   513 A Amherst-Pelham         17- 1      16    32           0.00
   515 A Belchertown            18- 3      15    25           0.00
   516 H West Springfield, MA   18- 1      17    26           0.00
   519 A South Hadley           18- 3      15    20           0.00
   521 A Westfield HS, MA       19- 2      17    23           0.00
   530 H Agawam                 19- 3      16    18           0.00
   603 H Westborough            13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   607 N Minnechaug             15- 4      11     7    +      2.98
   610 N Franklin, MA           11- 7       4     4          -0.36
   614 N Westwood, MA            7- 9      -2    -2           0.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 H Westborough            13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Hotchkiss School       16- 6      10     1    +++        
   426 A Guilderland            17-10       7     0    +++        
   417 A Governor's Academy     17- 2      15     6    +          
   428 A Minnechaug             14- 4      10     6    +      3.56
   503 H Minnechaug             15- 2      13     7    +      2.40
   510 H New Canaan             16- 9       7     4    +          
   607 N Minnechaug             15- 4      11     7    +      2.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.91 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.32 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 23- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   11.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/