Region = PA    Mid PA           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Peggy Barton          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9376984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Warwick, PA            PA    LLL     ( 8-10, 81.2)     9- 4   
 324 H Elizabethtown Area     PA    Indep   (12- 6, 79.2)    10- 6   
 328 A Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 2-15, 61.2)    15- 2   
 401 A Palmyra Area, PA       PA    Mid PA  ( 5-11, 72.0)    13-12   
 403 H Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 86.3)    15-21   
 405 H Spring Grove           PA    York D1 ( 2-16, 63.6)    17- 3   
 407 A Northern York          PA    Mid PA  ( 4-15, 64.0)    17- 6   
 408 A Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 77.5)    18-17  o
 410 A State College Area     PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 89.0)    16-17   
 414 A Elizabethtown Area     PA    Indep   (12- 6, 79.2)    13-14  o
 415 H Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   ( 4-10, 65.1)   
 417 A Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (15- 4, 88.6)     5-19   
 421 H Pittston Area          PA    WVC     ( 2- 8, 58.2)   
 421 H Red Lion Area, PA      PA    York D1 ( 4-14, 65.1)    20- 7   
 424 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 76.0)    16-12   
 429 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (19- 4, 93.6)     7-18   
 502 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  (10- 8, 70.6)    20- 4   
 505 A Cedar Crest            PA    LLL     ( 9-10, 81.8)    13-10   
 507 H West York Area         PA    York D2 ( 8- 9, 73.7)    14-11   
 513 A York Catholic          PA    York D2 (18- 3, 89.8)    17-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Warwick, PA             9- 4       5     1    +      3.73
   324 H Elizabethtown Area     10- 6       4     3           0.71
   328 A Chambersburg Area      15- 2      13    20           0.00
   401 A Palmyra Area, PA       13-12       1     9    ---   -8.37
   403 H Hershey                15-21      -6    -3    -     -2.19
   405 H Spring Grove           17- 3      14    18           0.00
   407 A Northern York          17- 6      11    17           0.00
   408 A Carlisle Area          18-17  o    1     3    -     -2.85
   410 A State College Area     16-17      -1    -7    +++    6.60
   414 A Elizabethtown Area     13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.16
   417 A Governor Mifflin        5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.71
   421 H Red Lion Area, PA      20- 7      13    17           0.00
   424 A Central Dauphin        16-12       4     5          -1.39
   429 H Cumberland Valley       7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   502 H Central Dauphin East   20- 4      16    11           0.00
   505 A Cedar Crest            13-10       3     0    +      3.45
   507 H West York Area         14-11       3     8    --    -5.79
   513 A York Catholic          17-19      -2    -8    +++    6.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Palmyra Area, PA       13-12       1     9    ---   -8.37
   507 H West York Area         14-11       3     8    --    -5.79
   403 H Hershey                15-21      -6    -3    -     -2.19
   408 A Carlisle Area          18-17  o    1     3    -     -2.85
   414 A Elizabethtown Area     13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.16
   417 A Governor Mifflin        5-19     -14    -7    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A State College Area     16-17      -1    -7    +++    6.60
   513 A York Catholic          17-19      -2    -8    +++    6.46
   321 H Warwick, PA             9- 4       5     1    +      3.73
   505 A Cedar Crest            13-10       3     0    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.92 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.15 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/