Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Elizabeth Acee        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0600891    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (12- 6, 85.8)     8- 9   
 401 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.6)     8- 5   
 404 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 85.4)     2- 8   
 407 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.8)     3-14   
 411 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (16- 2, 94.6)     5-17   
 415 H Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 6, 78.7)     9-10 2o
 417 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 68.4)    16- 5   
 422 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.2)     9-10 3o
 424 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 67.2)    13- 6   
 426 A Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (16- 3, 88.6)    11-14   
 428 H Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 74.8)    13- 8   
 501 A East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (11- 6, 82.2)    10- 4   
 503 H Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.6)    14- 9   
 506 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 85.4)     5-11   
 509 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.8)     2-15   
 514 H Bishop Ludden          NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 8, 81.2)     9- 7   
 520 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.2)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Carthage                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.52
   401 A Oswego                  8- 5       3     5    -     -2.46
   404 H Baldwinsville           2- 8      -6    -4          -1.86
   407 A West Genesee            3-14     -11   -20           0.00
   411 A Cicero-North Syracuse   5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   415 H Syracuse                9-10 2o   -1     2    -     -3.57
   417 A Rome Free Academy      16- 5      11    10           0.00
   422 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9-10 3o   -1    -3    +      2.95
   424 A Central Square         13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   426 A Watertown, NY          11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.49
   428 H Auburn                 13- 8       5     6          -1.50
   501 A East Syracuse-Minoa    10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.13
   503 H Oswego                 14- 9       5     7    -     -2.69
   506 A Baldwinsville           5-11      -6    -6           0.38
   509 H West Genesee            2-15     -13   -18           0.00
   514 H Bishop Ludden           9- 7       2     0           1.92
   520 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Oswego                  8- 5       3     5    -     -2.46
   415 H Syracuse                9-10 2o   -1     2    -     -3.57
   424 A Central Square         13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   503 H Oswego                 14- 9       5     7    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Watertown, NY          11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.49
   501 A East Syracuse-Minoa    10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.13
   329 H Carthage                8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.52
   422 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9-10 3o   -1    -3    +      2.95
   520 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.18 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.12 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/