Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6143799    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 96.5)     1-16   
 407 A Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 68.5)    19- 5   
 409 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 89.9)     5- 6   
 410 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (15- 3, 96.7)    10-17   
 422 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 94.4)     7-12   
 424 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 79.5)    14- 8   
 426 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 73.6)    18- 2   
 429 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.0)     7-13   
 501 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 82.0)     9- 8   
 502 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (15- 3, 96.7)    11-17   
 506 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 79.5)    13-11   
 508 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 73.6)    17- 5   
 509 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 83.7)     3- 5   
 513 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.0)     4-14   
 515 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 82.0)    11- 8   
 519 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-12, 70.1)    18- 6   
 520 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 4, 93.0)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Amherst, NY             1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   407 A Springville-Griffith   19- 5      14    16           0.00
   409 H Orchard Park            5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.75
   410 A Williamsville North    10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   422 H Lake Shore              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.22
   424 H Williamsville South    14- 8       6     6          -0.69
   426 H Sweet Home             18- 2      16    12           0.00
   429 H Williamsville East      7-13      -6    -6           0.82
   501 A West Seneca West        9- 8       1     2          -1.84
   502 H Williamsville North    11-17      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   506 A Williamsville South    13-11       2     5    -     -3.32
   508 A Sweet Home             17- 5      12    11           0.00
   509 A East Aurora             3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.15
   513 A Williamsville East      4-14     -10    -8          -1.81
   515 H West Seneca West       11- 8       3     4          -1.21
   519 H North Tonawanda        18- 6      12    16           0.00
   520 A Williamsville East     10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Williamsville South    13-11       2     5    -     -3.32
   509 A East Aurora             3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Williamsville North    11-17      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   520 A Williamsville East     10-14      -4    -8    ++     4.19
   409 H Orchard Park            5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.75
   410 A Williamsville North    10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   422 H Lake Shore              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.51 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.26 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/