Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.9018250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 96.5)     8- 6   
 401 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 89.9)    12- 6   
 403 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.3)    13- 1   
 410 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     5-13   
 424 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 90.9)    17- 7   
 426 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 96.8)     8-10   
 429 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 89.9)    12- 8   
 501 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 87.5)    15- 9   
 503 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 90.9)    13- 5   
 506 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 96.8)    15- 9   
 508 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 94.4)    18- 9   
 513 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     9- 8   
 515 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 87.5)    13- 4   
 522 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 90.9)     9- 8   
 528 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Amherst, NY             8- 6       2     2          -0.19
   401 A Orchard Park           12- 6       6     8    -     -2.70
   403 A Niagara Falls          13- 1      12    20           0.00
   410 A Lancaster, NY           5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.75
   424 H Clarence               17- 7      10     9           0.91
   426 A Hamburg                 8-10      -2     1    -     -3.81
   429 H Orchard Park           12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   501 H West Seneca East       15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   503 A Clarence               13- 5       8     7           0.28
   506 H Hamburg                15- 9       6     3    +      2.82
   508 H Lake Shore             18- 9       9     5    +      3.40
   513 H Lancaster, NY           9- 8       1     0           0.88
   515 A West Seneca East       13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   522 H Clarence                9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.09
   528 N Lancaster, NY           8-10      -2     0          -1.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Lancaster, NY           5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.75
   429 H Orchard Park           12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   522 H Clarence                9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.09
   501 H West Seneca East       15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   401 A Orchard Park           12- 6       6     8    -     -2.70
   426 A Hamburg                 8-10      -2     1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Hamburg                15- 9       6     3    +      2.82
   508 H Lake Shore             18- 9       9     5    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.33 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.27 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   25.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.230.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/