Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Stacy Freda           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4012680    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Newton North           MA    East D1 (13- 6, 85.2)    11-14   
 402 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 0, 99.9)     7-14   
 403 A Weymouth               MA    So D1   ( 6-11, 71.5)    18- 9   
 408 H Natick                 MA    East D1 (14- 6, 86.4)     7-12   
 411 A Needham                MA    So D1   (19- 3, 93.5)     7-14   
 415 H Dedham                 MA    So D2   ( 6-11, 72.0)    14- 1   
 417 H Newton North           MA    East D1 (13- 6, 85.2)    15-12   
 423 A Woburn Memorial        MA    No D1   (10- 8, 76.8)    14- 6   
 424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA     MA    No D2   (13- 8, 78.1)    12- 7   
 426 H Winchester             MA    No D1   (17- 5, 86.4)     8-10   
 429 H Milton, MA             MA    So D2   ( 3-12, 71.7)    17- 5   
 430 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (15- 5, 89.0)     9-16   
 502 H Braintree              MA    So D1   (13- 9, 79.2)    21-12   
 505 A Medford, MA            MA    No D1   (10- 9, 73.9)    18- 8   
 506 A Norwood                MA    So D1   (10- 8, 79.9)    20-14   
 508 A Walpole                MA    East D1 (16- 4, 88.3)     7- 5   
 513 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   ( 8- 7, 83.3)     8- 8   
 515 A Brookline              MA    East D1 ( 1-17, 63.7)    18- 3   
 516 A Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (12- 7, 82.7)    17- 7   
 520 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (17- 3, 91.9)    12-12   
 527 H King Philip            MA    East D1 (12- 7, 84.8)    13- 3   
 530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (13- 4, 91.8)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Newton North           11-14      -3     0    -     -3.55
   402 A Westwood, MA            7-14      -7   -14    +      3.00
   403 A Weymouth               18- 9       9    14          -1.00
   408 H Natick                  7-12      -5     0    --    -5.56
   411 A Needham                 7-14      -7    -7           0.74
   415 H Dedham                 14- 1      13    14           0.00
   417 H Newton North           15-12       3     1           1.29
   423 A Woburn Memorial        14- 6       8     9          -1.01
   424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA     12- 7       5     7    -     -2.68
   426 H Winchester              8-10      -2     0    -     -2.52
   429 H Milton, MA             17- 5      12    15           0.00
   430 H Andover, MA             9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.97
   502 H Braintree              21-12       9     7           1.27
   505 A Medford, MA            18- 8      10    11           0.00
   506 A Norwood                20-14       6     5           0.09
   508 A Walpole                 7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.56
   513 H Wellesley HS            8- 8       0     3    -     -3.59
   515 A Brookline              18- 3      15    22           0.00
   516 A Reading Memorial       17- 7      10     3    +++    6.98
   520 H Concord-Carlisle       12-12       0    -4    ++     4.92
   527 H King Philip            13- 3      10     2    +++    7.89
   530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Natick                  7-12      -5     0    --    -5.56
   430 H Andover, MA             9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.97
   331 A Newton North           11-14      -3     0    -     -3.55
   424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA     12- 7       5     7    -     -2.68
   426 H Winchester              8-10      -2     0    -     -2.52
   513 H Wellesley HS            8- 8       0     3    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Reading Memorial       17- 7      10     3    +++    6.98
   527 H King Philip            13- 3      10     2    +++    7.89
   508 A Walpole                 7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.56
   520 H Concord-Carlisle       12-12       0    -4    ++     4.92
   402 A Westwood, MA            7-14      -7   -14    +      3.00
   530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.35 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.05 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
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