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Region = MA East D1 Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Stacy FredaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4012680 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Newton North MA East D1 (13- 6, 85.2) 11-14 402 A Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 0, 99.9) 7-14 403 A Weymouth MA So D1 ( 6-11, 71.5) 18- 9 408 H Natick MA East D1 (14- 6, 86.4) 7-12 411 A Needham MA So D1 (19- 3, 93.5) 7-14 415 H Dedham MA So D2 ( 6-11, 72.0) 14- 1 417 H Newton North MA East D1 (13- 6, 85.2) 15-12 423 A Woburn Memorial MA No D1 (10- 8, 76.8) 14- 6 424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA MA No D2 (13- 8, 78.1) 12- 7 426 H Winchester MA No D1 (17- 5, 86.4) 8-10 429 H Milton, MA MA So D2 ( 3-12, 71.7) 17- 5 430 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (15- 5, 89.0) 9-16 502 H Braintree MA So D1 (13- 9, 79.2) 21-12 505 A Medford, MA MA No D1 (10- 9, 73.9) 18- 8 506 A Norwood MA So D1 (10- 8, 79.9) 20-14 508 A Walpole MA East D1 (16- 4, 88.3) 7- 5 513 H Wellesley HS MA So D1 ( 8- 7, 83.3) 8- 8 515 A Brookline MA East D1 ( 1-17, 63.7) 18- 3 516 A Reading Memorial MA No D1 (12- 7, 82.7) 17- 7 520 H Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (17- 3, 91.9) 12-12 527 H King Philip MA East D1 (12- 7, 84.8) 13- 3 530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 (13- 4, 91.8) 5- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Newton North 11-14 -3 0 - -3.55 402 A Westwood, MA 7-14 -7 -14 + 3.00 403 A Weymouth 18- 9 9 14 -1.00 408 H Natick 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.56 411 A Needham 7-14 -7 -7 0.74 415 H Dedham 14- 1 13 14 0.00 417 H Newton North 15-12 3 1 1.29 423 A Woburn Memorial 14- 6 8 9 -1.01 424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA 12- 7 5 7 - -2.68 426 H Winchester 8-10 -2 0 - -2.52 429 H Milton, MA 17- 5 12 15 0.00 430 H Andover, MA 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.97 502 H Braintree 21-12 9 7 1.27 505 A Medford, MA 18- 8 10 11 0.00 506 A Norwood 20-14 6 5 0.09 508 A Walpole 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.56 513 H Wellesley HS 8- 8 0 3 - -3.59 515 A Brookline 18- 3 15 22 0.00 516 A Reading Memorial 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.98 520 H Concord-Carlisle 12-12 0 -4 ++ 4.92 527 H King Philip 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.89 530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Natick 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.56 430 H Andover, MA 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.97 331 A Newton North 11-14 -3 0 - -3.55 424 A Bishop Fenwick, MA 12- 7 5 7 - -2.68 426 H Winchester 8-10 -2 0 - -2.52 513 H Wellesley HS 8- 8 0 3 - -3.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Reading Memorial 17- 7 10 3 +++ 6.98 527 H King Philip 13- 3 10 2 +++ 7.89 508 A Walpole 7- 5 2 -2 ++ 4.56 520 H Concord-Carlisle 12-12 0 -4 ++ 4.92 402 A Westwood, MA 7-14 -7 -14 + 3.00 530 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.01/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.35 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 63.05 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 26 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 63 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3