Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.4490891    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Ledyard                CT    Class M (10- 8, 72.5)    11-12   
 410 H Waterford, CT          CT    Class S ( 9- 9, 73.6)    16- 4   
 422 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 8- 8, 70.4)    13-18   
 424 H Bacon Academy          CT    Class M ( 8-10, 69.0)    12- 8   
 426 A Old Saybrook           CT    Class S (17- 1, 86.2)    10-19   
 429 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (14- 6, 83.1)    10-16   
 501 A St. Bernard, CT        CT    Class S ( 9- 8, 68.8)    13-13 2o
 503 A Stonington             CT    Class S (21- 1, 86.2)     9-18   
 506 H Wheeler, CT            CT    Class S ( 0-15, 57.6)    18- 8   
 508 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 1-15, 58.4)    16- 5   
 509 A Montville, CT          CT    Class S ( 5-11, 61.8)    16- 5   
 513 A Old Lyme               CT    Class S (15- 4, 84.6)     7-19   
 514 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 1-15, 58.4)    12-10   
 515 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 8- 8, 70.4)    12-13 2o
 520 A Bacon Academy          CT    Class M ( 8-10, 69.0)    14-15  o
 523 H East Lyme              CT    Class M (14- 6, 83.1)     9-17   
 530 A Mercy, CT              CT    Class M ( 9- 9, 76.4)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Ledyard                11-12      -1    -2           1.76
   410 H Waterford, CT          16- 4      12    -2    +++   12.27
   422 A Norwich Free Acad      13-18      -5     0    --    -4.32
   424 H Bacon Academy          12- 8       4     2           1.71
   426 A Old Saybrook           10-19      -9   -16           1.00
   429 A East Lyme              10-16      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   501 A St. Bernard, CT        13-13 2o    0     0          -0.93
   503 A Stonington              9-18      -9   -16           1.00
   506 H Wheeler, CT            18- 8      10    13           0.00
   508 A Woodstock Academy      16- 5      11    11           0.00
   509 A Montville, CT          16- 5      11     8           2.00
   513 A Old Lyme                7-19     -12   -14           0.00
   514 H Woodstock Academy      12-10       2    12    ---   -8.00
   515 H Norwich Free Acad      12-13 2o   -1     0          -1.87
   520 A Bacon Academy          14-15  o   -1     0          -1.74
   523 H East Lyme               9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
   530 A Mercy, CT               7-18     -11    -6    -     -3.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Woodstock Academy      12-10       2    12    ---   -8.00
   422 A Norwich Free Acad      13-18      -5     0    --    -4.32
   530 A Mercy, CT               7-18     -11    -6    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Waterford, CT          16- 4      12    -2    +++   12.27
   429 A East Lyme              10-16      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   523 H East Lyme               9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.54 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.94 Local SOS Rank.............    66
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/