Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3776169    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H East Irondequoit       NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 71.0)    17- 6   
 404 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 95.0)     5-19   
 408 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 83.5)     6- 5   
 410 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 94.5)     7- 8   
 412 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 89.0)     9-12   
 414 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 85.7)     9-12   
 416 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     7- 6   
 423 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.9)     5-15   
 425 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.4)     5-15   
 426 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 91.4)     8-13   
 429 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.3)     4-17   
 501 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 87.0)     6-11   
 507 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 95.0)     6-12   
 513 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 87.1)     7- 8   
 514 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.1)     2-15   
 515 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 96.5)     3-13   
 517 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 65.7)    20- 3   
 520 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 96.5)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H East Irondequoit       17- 6      11    12           0.00
   404 A Irondequoit             5-19     -14   -14           0.00
   408 H Canandaigua Academy     6- 5       1     0           1.48
   410 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 8      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   412 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY   9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.36
   414 H Hilton                  9-12      -3    -2          -0.35
   416 H Lancaster, NY           7- 6       1   -17          n/a  
   423 H Brighton, NY            5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   425 A Webster Thomas          5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   426 A Churchville-Chili       8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   429 A Victor                  4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   501 H Webster Schroeder       6-11      -5    -4          -1.00
   507 H Irondequoit             6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   513 A Rush-Henrietta          7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.55
   514 H Penfield                2-15     -13   -16           0.00
   515 N Pittsford               3-13     -10   -14           0.00
   517 H Gates-Chili            20- 3      17    17           0.00
   520 N Pittsford               3-12      -9   -14           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 8      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   416 H Lancaster, NY           7- 6       1   -17    +++        
   412 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY   9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.36
   426 A Churchville-Chili       8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   507 H Irondequoit             6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   513 A Rush-Henrietta          7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.80 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.62 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-14 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/