Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Brent Ritz            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0772400    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Havre De Grace         MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 7, 73.4)    15- 1   
 329 A Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 9, 82.1)   
 331 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (10- 9, 86.1)    11-12 3o
 402 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 93.3)    14-13   
 404 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 8, 83.9)    13- 4   
 409 A Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (14- 4, 89.6)    16- 9   
 411 H Perry Hall             MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 83.6)    18- 3   
 417 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (16- 5, 91.8)     9-16   
 419 N Easton, MD             MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 8, 76.3)    16- 5   
 422 H Bel Air                MD    4A-3A   (10- 7, 85.8)    12- 3   
 426 A South River            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 90.5)    10-11   
 428 H Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (18- 1, 95.7)    13-16   
 429 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 9, 79.9)    14- 6   
 501 H Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 6, 77.8)    20-10   
 505 N Edgewood, MD           MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 75.9)    17- 3   
 507 A Dundalk                MD    3A-2A   ( 1-11, 54.6)    22- 1   
 509 A Edgewood, MD           MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 75.9)    19- 5   
 512 A North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 8, 83.9)    15-10   
 514 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (17- 1, 94.7)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Havre De Grace         15- 1      14    18           0.00
   331 H John Carroll, MD       11-12 3o   -1     6          n/a  
   402 H Century, MD            14-13       1     0           1.65
   404 H North Harford          13- 4       9     8           0.29
   409 A Fallston               16- 9       7     1    ++     5.19
   411 H Perry Hall             18- 3      15     9           0.94
   417 N Roland Park Country     9-16      -7     0          n/a  
   419 N Easton, MD             16- 5      11    15           0.00
   422 H Bel Air                12- 3       9     6    +      2.16
   426 A South River            10-11      -1     0          -1.96
   428 H Manchester Valley      13-16      -3    -3           0.06
   429 A Patterson Mill         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   501 H Harford Tech           20-10      10    14           0.00
   505 N Edgewood, MD           17- 3      14    16           0.00
   507 A Dundalk                22- 1      21    36           0.00
   509 A Edgewood, MD           19- 5      14    15           0.00
   512 A North Harford          15-10       5     7    -     -2.50
   514 A Hereford                8-10      -2    -3           1.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H John Carroll, MD       11-12 3o   -1     6    ---        
   417 N Roland Park Country     9-16      -7     0    ---        
   429 A Patterson Mill         14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   512 A North Harford          15-10       5     7    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Fallston               16- 9       7     1    ++     5.19
   422 H Bel Air                12- 3       9     6    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.03 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.19 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/