Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5568466    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 74.8)    22- 0   
 404 H Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.6)    18- 4   
 408 N Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 85.4)    13- 6   
 411 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 80.2)    17- 5   
 415 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.8)     7-10   
 417 A Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 6, 78.7)    22- 7   
 419 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (13- 4, 90.8)    18-10   
 421 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 68.4)    21- 4   
 423 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 1-14, 77.4)    15-14   
 425 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 3-11, 80.5)    12-11   
 428 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 67.2)    21- 2   
 430 H Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 74.8)    18- 5   
 506 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 73.6)    14- 3   
 508 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 85.4)    17-14   
 512 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.2)    14- 9   
 514 H South Jefferson        NY C  Sec 3   (14- 4, 90.7)    16- 9   
 523 N Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 85.2)    13- 8   
 527 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.8)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Auburn                 22- 0      22    18           0.00
   404 H Oswego                 18- 4      14    22           0.00
   408 N Baldwinsville          13- 6       7     9    -     -2.16
   411 H Liverpool              17- 5      12    15           0.00
   415 A West Genesee            7-10      -3    -6    +      3.34
   417 A Syracuse               22- 7      15    14           0.00
   419 H Marcellus              18-10       8     4    +      3.08
   421 H Rome Free Academy      21- 4      17    27           0.00
   423 A Maryvale Prep          15-14       1    16          n/a  
   425 A Garrison Forest        12-11       1    13          n/a  
   428 H Central Square         21- 2      19    28           0.00
   430 H Auburn                 18- 5      13    20           0.00
   506 A Oswego                 14- 3      11    19           0.00
   508 H Baldwinsville          17-14       3    10    ---   -7.00
   512 A Fayetteville-Manlius   14- 9       5     8    -     -3.24
   514 H South Jefferson        16- 9       7     5           1.95
   523 N Fayetteville-Manlius   13- 8       5     9    --    -4.35
   527 N West Genesee            6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Maryvale Prep          15-14       1    16    ---        
   425 A Garrison Forest        12-11       1    13    ---        
   508 H Baldwinsville          17-14       3    10    ---   -7.00
   523 N Fayetteville-Manlius   13- 8       5     9    --    -4.35
   527 N West Genesee            6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.77
   408 N Baldwinsville          13- 6       7     9    -     -2.16
   512 A Fayetteville-Manlius   14- 9       5     8    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A West Genesee            7-10      -3    -6    +      3.34
   419 H Marcellus              18-10       8     4    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.60 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.87 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/