Winston Churchill             8 - 3


 
                                     Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Bulldogs             Coach  =   C. Pena-Ariet         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.9783478    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Northwest, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 8, 59.2)    16- 0   
 324 H Kennedy, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 0- 6, 50.7)    20- 1   
 328 H Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 79.2)    16-11   
 331 A Einstein               MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 7, 55.4)    23- 2   
 410 H Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (13- 2, 88.3)     6-21   
 422 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (10- 5, 76.8)    19- 8   
 424 H Wootton                MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 8, 73.8)    12-11   
 426 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 8, 67.7)    14- 5   
 428 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 81.3)    11-15   
 502 H Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 73.3)    12- 4   
 505 A Poolesville            MD    2A-1A   (11- 1, 81.4)    11-11 4o
 509 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (10- 5, 76.8)    11-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Northwest, MD          16- 0      16    20           0.00
   324 H Kennedy, MD            20- 1      19    29           0.00
   328 H Damascus               16-11       5     1    +      3.75
   331 A Einstein               23- 2      21    23           0.00
   410 H Sherwood, MD            6-21     -15    -7    -     -2.16
   422 A Walter Johnson         19- 8      11     2    +++    7.55
   424 H Wootton                12-11       1     6    --    -5.69
   426 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase   14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   428 A Whitman, MD            11-15      -4    -2          -1.97
   502 H Quince Orchard         12- 4       8     7           0.80
   505 A Poolesville            11-11 4o    0    -2    +      2.15
   509 H Walter Johnson         11-12      -1     3    --    -4.67


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Wootton                12-11       1     6    --    -5.69
   509 H Walter Johnson         11-12      -1     3    --    -4.67
   410 H Sherwood, MD            6-21     -15    -7    -     -2.16


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Walter Johnson         19- 8      11     2    +++    7.55
   328 H Damascus               16-11       5     1    +      3.75
   505 A Poolesville            11-11 4o    0    -2    +      2.15




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.89 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.90 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   133
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3


  
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