Charlottesville               6 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA 1A South            
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Sally DuBose          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.6899872    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA 1A South   ( 0- 8, 57.3)    20- 5   
 411 H Monticello, VA         VA 1A South   ( 7- 7, 76.2)    19-15   
 415 A Fluvanna               VA 1A South   ( 0-14, 58.0)    19- 6   
 416 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     (19- 5, 97.1)     3-20   
 418 A Western Albemarle      VA 1A South   (14- 5, 83.9)     9-18   
 422 H Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    26-25   
 429 A Monticello, VA         VA 1A South   ( 7- 7, 76.2)    16-17   
 502 H Fluvanna               VA 1A South   ( 0-14, 58.0)    22- 9   
 506 H Western Albemarle      VA 1A South   (14- 5, 83.9)    17-21   
 509 A Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    11-21   
 516 H Patrick Henry, Ashland VA 1A South   ( 1-12, 58.4)    24- 4   
 520 A Albemarle              VA 1A South   ( 7- 9, 76.1)    19-24   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   20- 5      15    19           0.00
   411 H Monticello, VA         19-15       4     0    +      3.58
   415 A Fluvanna               19- 6      13    16           0.00
   416 H St. Anne's-Belfield     3-20     -17   -20           0.00
   418 A Western Albemarle       9-18      -9    -9           0.03
   422 H Albemarle              26-25       1     0           0.39
   429 A Monticello, VA         16-17      -1    -1           0.37
   502 H Fluvanna               22- 9      13    18           0.00
   506 H Western Albemarle      17-21      -4    -7    +      3.24
   509 A Albemarle              11-21     -10    -1    ---   -8.81
   516 H Patrick Henry, Ashland 24- 4      20    18           0.00
   520 A Albemarle              19-24      -5    -1    -     -3.81


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Albemarle              11-21     -10    -1    ---   -8.81
   520 A Albemarle              19-24      -5    -1    -     -3.81


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Monticello, VA         19-15       4     0    +      3.58
   506 H Western Albemarle      17-21      -4    -7    +      3.24




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.77 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.06 Local SOS Rank.............    80
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    86
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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