Conf =  B1                        Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Dave Baran            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.3753128    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 61.9)    10- 6   
 331 H Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.7)     6-12   
 402 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 77.1)     5-15   
 410 H Christian Brothers, NY NY B  Sec 3   (17- 4, 92.7)     1-20   
 412 H Hoosick Falls          NY C  Indep   ( 0-11, 60.2)    19- 4   
 417 H Jamesville-DeWitt      NY B  Sec 3   (10- 8, 80.7)     7-14   
 421 H Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 78.4)     5-16   
 422 A East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (11- 6, 82.2)     1-22   
 425 H Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-11, 62.4)    12- 7   
 429 A Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 78.4)     8-14   
 503 H New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 61.9)    11-10   
 506 A Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 74.7)     4-11   
 508 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 77.1)     4-14   
 512 A Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 6, 78.7)     9-17   
 513 A Tully                  NY C  Sec 3   ( 5- 9, 75.1)     7-15   
 514 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 77.1)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H New Hartford           10- 6       4     5          -1.03
   331 H Mexico                  6-12      -6    -7           1.69
   402 H Cortland                5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   410 H Christian Brothers, NY  1-20     -19   -25           0.00
   412 H Hoosick Falls          19- 4      15     6          n/a  
   417 H Jamesville-DeWitt       7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   421 H Homer                   5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   422 A East Syracuse-Minoa     1-22     -21   -17           0.00
   425 H Whitesboro             12- 7       5     4           0.42
   429 A Homer                   8-14      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   503 H New Hartford           11-10       1     5    --    -4.03
   506 A Mexico                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.93
   508 A Cortland                4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   512 A Syracuse                9-17      -8   -13    +      2.00
   513 A Tully                   7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   514 A Cortland                3-12      -9   -12           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H New Hartford           11-10       1     5    --    -4.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Homer                   8-14      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   412 H Hoosick Falls          19- 4      15     6    +          
   417 H Jamesville-DeWitt       7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   506 A Mexico                  4-11      -7    -9    +      2.93
   512 A Syracuse                9-17      -8   -13    +      2.00
   513 A Tully                   7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 65.85 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.19 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/