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Region = VA 1A North Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Laura NelsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7698364 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Woodgrove VA 1A North (17- 4, 89.7) 5-13 331 A McLean, VA VA 6A North ( 6- 6, 81.9) 12-13 403 H Dominion VA 1A North ( 3- 7, 75.3) 15-12 407 A Freedom, South Riding VA 1A North ( 9- 7, 81.4) 14-12 408 A Stone Bridge VA 1A North (14- 3, 92.6) 6-16 410 A Tuscarora, VA VA 1A North ( 9- 7, 81.4) 15-10 421 H Potomac Falls VA 1A North ( 6- 8, 79.0) 16-20 424 H Broad Run VA 1A North (10- 8, 85.4) 11-15 428 H Freedom, South Riding VA 1A North ( 9- 7, 81.4) 8- 9 505 A Potomac Falls VA 1A North ( 6- 8, 79.0) 508 H Tuscarora, VA VA 1A North ( 9- 7, 81.4) 8-19 512 A Broad Run VA 1A North (10- 8, 85.4) 9- 6 515 A Freedom, South Riding VA 1A North ( 9- 7, 81.4) 13-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Woodgrove 5-13 -8 -12 + 2.00 331 A McLean, VA 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.65 403 H Dominion 15-12 3 3 -0.75 407 A Freedom, South Riding 14-12 2 -4 +++ 6.08 408 A Stone Bridge 6-16 -10 -15 0.00 410 A Tuscarora, VA 15-10 5 -4 +++ 9.06 421 H Potomac Falls 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.09 424 H Broad Run 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.27 428 H Freedom, South Riding 8- 9 -1 -2 1.29 508 H Tuscarora, VA 8-19 -11 -2 --- -7.73 512 A Broad Run 9- 6 3 -8 +++ 11.06 515 A Freedom, South Riding 13-18 -5 -4 -0.92UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Tuscarora, VA 8-19 -11 -2 --- -7.73 421 H Potomac Falls 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Freedom, South Riding 14-12 2 -4 +++ 6.08 410 A Tuscarora, VA 15-10 5 -4 +++ 9.06 512 A Broad Run 9- 6 3 -8 +++ 11.06 327 A Woodgrove 5-13 -8 -12 + 2.00 331 A McLean, VA 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.65 424 H Broad Run 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.19 Local Power Rank........... 53 Local SOS Rating......... 63.13 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 58 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 16 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 85 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3