Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Gerry Walsh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6671143    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Carmel, NY             NY A  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 74.0)    20-11   
 331 H O'Neill                NY C  Sec 9   ( 2-12, 73.7)    21- 2   
 402 A Somers, NY             NY B  Sec 1   (17- 1, 97.0)     9-16   
 408 A White Plains           NY A  Sec 1   (13- 2, 94.8)     2-12   
 410 A Ossining               NY B  Sec 1   ( 4-13, 78.7)    14-15   
 412 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 95.6)     9-13   
 419 H Nyack                  NY B  Sec 1   (15- 3, 93.2)    12-14   
 421 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (10- 7, 91.0)     7-18   
 423 H Suffern                NY A  Sec 1   (16- 4, 99.9)     6-20   
 425 H New Fairfield          CT    Class M (14- 7, 88.6)    12-14   
 428 A Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 8- 9, 82.0)    12-10   
 502 H Somers, NY             NY B  Sec 1   (17- 1, 97.0)     7-18   
 505 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (10- 7, 89.4)     5- 7   
 507 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 3, 96.1)     6- 9   
 510 A Clarkstown South       NY A  Sec 1   ( 3-14, 76.8)    16- 9   
 512 H Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (14- 3, 93.9)    10-16   
 515 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   (13- 3, 90.0)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Carmel, NY             20-11       9     6    +      2.49
   331 H O'Neill                21- 2      19     9          n/a  
   402 A Somers, NY              9-16      -7   -16    +      3.00
   408 A White Plains            2-12     -10   -14           0.00
   410 A Ossining               14-15      -1     1    -     -2.80
   412 H Niskayuna               9-13      -4   -12          n/a  
   419 H Nyack                  12-14      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   421 H John Jay-Cross River    7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.07
   423 H Suffern                 6-20     -14   -16           0.00
   425 H New Fairfield          12-14      -2    -5          n/a  
   428 A Putnam Valley          12-10       2    -1    +      3.47
   502 H Somers, NY              7-18     -11   -13           0.00
   505 A Mahopac                 5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.88
   507 A Yorktown, NY            6- 9      -3   -15    +++    7.00
   510 A Clarkstown South       16- 9       7     3    +      3.25
   512 H Lakeland-Panas         10-16      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   515 A Horace Greeley         10-14      -4    -9    ++     5.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Ossining               14-15      -1     1    -     -2.80
   421 H John Jay-Cross River    7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Niskayuna               9-13      -4   -12    +++        
   419 H Nyack                  12-14      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   505 A Mahopac                 5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.88
   507 A Yorktown, NY            6- 9      -3   -15    +++    7.00
   512 H Lakeland-Panas         10-16      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   515 A Horace Greeley         10-14      -4    -9    ++     5.43
   326 A Carmel, NY             20-11       9     6    +      2.49
   402 A Somers, NY              9-16      -7   -16    +      3.00
   425 H New Fairfield          12-14      -2    -5    +          
   428 A Putnam Valley          12-10       2    -1    +      3.47
   510 A Clarkstown South       16- 9       7     3    +      3.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.82 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.80 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/