Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Garbarino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0041885    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 3-12, 77.8)    13- 5   
 402 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 6, 90.5)     4- 9   
 404 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (13- 4, 99.9)     2-19   
 409 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 98.2)     4-15   
 412 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 7- 9, 83.5)     8-10   
 414 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 86.9)     4-12   
 422 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 6, 90.5)     7-13   
 424 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (13- 4, 99.9)     3-16   
 426 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 3- 9, 79.1)    10-11   
 430 H Elmira Free Academy    NY    Indep   ( 0-14, 72.5)    11-10   
 501 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 86.9)     6-11   
 503 H Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   ( 5- 7, 80.8)    12- 7   
 505 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 7- 9, 83.5)    11-10   
 508 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 98.2)     4-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Union-Endicott         13- 5       8     3    ++     4.54
   402 H Horseheads              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.27
   404 H Vestal                  2-19     -17   -18           0.00
   409 A Corning                 4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   412 A Chenango Forks          8-10      -2    -2           0.30
   414 H Ithaca                  4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   422 A Horseheads              7-13      -6    -9    +      3.29
   424 A Vestal                  3-16     -13   -18           0.00
   426 H Seton Catholic Central 10-11      -1     2    -     -3.15
   430 H Elmira Free Academy    11-10       1     8    ---   -7.76
   501 A Ithaca                  6-11      -5    -5           0.73
   503 H Johnson City           12- 7       5     0    ++     4.58
   505 H Chenango Forks         11-10       1    -2    +      3.28
   508 H Corning                 4-18     -14   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Elmira Free Academy    11-10       1     8    ---   -7.76
   414 H Ithaca                  4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.29
   426 H Seton Catholic Central 10-11      -1     2    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Union-Endicott         13- 5       8     3    ++     4.54
   402 H Horseheads              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.27
   503 H Johnson City           12- 7       5     0    ++     4.58
   422 A Horseheads              7-13      -6    -9    +      3.29
   505 H Chenango Forks         11-10       1    -2    +      3.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.23 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.39 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/