Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY A  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Admirals             Coach  =   Dan Schmitt           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9584808    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Saugerties             NY B  Sec 9   ( 5- 5, 86.5)    17- 2   
 402 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (14- 4, 99.9)     8-13   
 404 A Hendrick Hudson        NY C  Sec 1   ( 7-10, 81.7)    13- 8   
 407 A Middletown, NY         NY A  Sec 9   ( 1- 6, 79.1)    17- 4   
 411 A Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 8- 9, 82.0)    12- 9   
 412 H Wappingers             NY A  Sec 1   ( 4-11, 73.4)    20- 9   
 414 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   (13- 3, 90.0)     5-17   
 416 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 6- 5, 88.2)    13- 7   
 423 H Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (14- 3, 93.9)    11-18   
 429 A North Salem            NY C  Sec 1   (15- 3, 83.3)    12-11   
 430 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (10- 7, 89.4)     8-11   
 502 A Beacon                 NY B  Sec 1   ( 2-10, 63.7)    18- 5   
 505 H Hendrick Hudson        NY C  Sec 1   ( 7-10, 81.7)    11- 3   
 507 H Carmel, NY             NY A  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 74.0)    15- 7   
 508 A Wappingers             NY A  Sec 1   ( 4-11, 73.4)     9-12   
 512 H Our Lady of Lourdes    NY C  Sec 1   ( 2-10, 66.0)    21- 6   
 514 H Carmel, NY             NY A  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 74.0)    18- 7   
 518 A Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (14- 3, 93.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Saugerties             17- 2      15     0          n/a  
   402 A Kingston                8-13      -5   -15          n/a  
   404 A Hendrick Hudson        13- 8       5     2    +      2.06
   407 A Middletown, NY         17- 4      13     5          n/a  
   411 A Putnam Valley          12- 9       3     2           0.40
   412 H Wappingers             20- 9      11    13           0.00
   414 A Horace Greeley          5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.64
   416 H Monroe-Woodbury        13- 7       6     0          n/a  
   423 H Lakeland-Panas         11-18      -7    -6          -0.30
   429 A North Salem            12-11       1     1          -0.36
   430 A Mahopac                 8-11      -3    -4           1.81
   502 A Beacon                 18- 5      13    20           0.00
   505 H Hendrick Hudson        11- 3       8     5    +      2.52
   507 H Carmel, NY             15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   508 A Wappingers              9-12      -3    11    ---  -13.00
   512 H Our Lady of Lourdes    21- 6      15    21           0.00
   514 H Carmel, NY             18- 7      11    13           0.00
   518 A Lakeland-Panas          8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Wappingers              9-12      -3    11    ---  -13.00
   414 A Horace Greeley          5-17     -12    -5    --    -4.64
   507 H Carmel, NY             15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Saugerties             17- 2      15     0    +++        
   416 H Monroe-Woodbury        13- 7       6     0    +++        
   518 A Lakeland-Panas          8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.24
   402 A Kingston                8-13      -5   -15    ++         
   407 A Middletown, NY         17- 4      13     5    ++         
   404 A Hendrick Hudson        13- 8       5     2    +      2.06
   505 H Hendrick Hudson        11- 3       8     5    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.89 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.25 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/