girls probabilites for 49
 
 

2013 girls NJ Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Shawnee 19 3 2 12 4 2 5 4 11 25.00 2 Mountain Lakes 19 2 4 14 2 4 10 2 16 7.00 3 Ridgewood 18 5 3 9 5 7 2 8 17 13.00 4 Allentown, NJ 22 2 11 60 9 10 3 5 18 0.10 5 Mendham 15 6 7 5 10 9 1 9 19 2.00 6 Oak Knoll School 17 6 8 4 6 8 9 7 24 1.00 7 Eastern, NJ 18 2 6 23 8 6 13 6 25 0.10 8 Summit, NJ 18 5 5 2 3 3 19 3 25 9.00 9 West Essex 18 5 9 17 7 13 12 11 36 1.00 10 Lenape 13 6 22 18 22 16 6 21 43 0.10 11 Indian Hills, NJ 19 2 14 41 11 11 21 12 44 0.10 12 Glen Ridge 15 8 19 13 16 19 8 24 51 0.10 13 Chatham 10 9 13 1 13 14 33 22 69 0.10 14 Clearview Region 15 6 18 26 29 21 20 28 69 0.10 15 Morristown 13 5 38 38 39 24 22 33 79 0.10 16 Shore Regional 12 6 59 67 46 31 15 34 80 0.10 17 Toms River South 16 3 37 107 20 27 38 16 81 0.10 18 Sparta 18 2 23 125 17 22 51 18 91 0.10 19 Ridge, NJ 16 3 10 30 26 12 55 26 93 0.10 20 Rancocas Valley 19 3 21 49 18 20 58 17 95 0.10 21 Ocean Township 16 6 72 106 41 42 16 38 96 0.10 22 Caldwell 16 5 26 46 24 30 41 29 100 0.10 23 Ocean City 15 4 73 174 31 37 35 31 103 0.10 24 West Deptford 17 4 29 69 28 28 52 27 107 0.10 25 North Hunterdon 13 6 31 25 44 23 34 51 108 0.10 26 Hillsborough, NJ 13 7 24 27 53 29 24 56 109 0.10 27 Colts Neck 16 5 50 109 33 33 46 32 111 0.10 28 Immaculate Heart 10 12 30 8 56 34 11 67 112 0.10 29 Princeton HS 18 4 15 37 23 26 67 19 112 0.10 30 Freehold Townshi 11 7 63 74 59 35 25 55 115 0.10 31 Madison 13 6 40 57 49 44 30 44 118 0.10 32 Cinnaminson 12 5 44 63 38 41 54 35 130 0.10 33 Red Bank Catholi 20 3 17 101 15 18 103 10 131 0.10 34 Washington Towns 7 11 49 15 73 51 4 77 132 0.10 35 West Windsor-PB 18 2 12 36 12 15 107 13 135 0.10 36 Rumson-Fair Have 18 6 16 31 19 5 118 14 137 0.10 37 Delaware Valley, 14 5 39 99 36 49 49 40 138 0.10 38 Manasquan 11 6 52 103 55 57 39 45 141 0.10 39 Notre Dame, NJ 17 5 25 50 25 25 94 23 142 0.10 40 Lakeland Regiona 17 2 48 152 14 38 90 15 143 0.10 41 Mainland Regiona 16 3 85 186 27 48 71 25 144 0.10 42 Moorestown 25 0 1 16 1 1 142 1 144 42.00 43 West Morris Cent 7 11 47 10 64 47 14 83 144 0.10 44 South Brunswick 14 4 56 115 32 39 76 36 151 0.10 45 Holy Angels Acad 13 4 60 132 34 43 77 37 157 0.10 46 Howell 11 7 71 108 71 60 29 72 161 0.10 47 Kinnelon 8 14 46 7 86 53 7 102 162 0.10 48 Robbinsville 9 7 65 45 67 68 42 53 163 0.10 49 Glen Rock 9 8 67 47 90 61 28 78 167 0.10 50 Hunterdon Centra 10 9 41 24 81 50 32 86 168 0.10 51 Kent Place SG 9 11 32 6 54 69 31 69 169 0.10 52 Columbia, NJ 10 7 57 44 57 63 43 64 170 0.10 53 Westfield, NJ 9 10 20 3 37 36 87 52 175 0.10 54 Roxbury 12 5 58 76 50 56 75 46 177 0.10 55 Montgomery, NJ 8 9 45 22 95 46 36 98 180 0.10 56 Camden Catholic 12 7 54 61 69 52 66 63 181 0.10 57 Cherry Hill East 11 7 34 34 52 71 59 54 184 0.10 58 Northern Highlan 11 6 36 68 62 58 69 57 184 0.10 59 Villa Walsh Acad 14 4 33 75 30 45 110 30 185 0.10 60 Wayne Hills 12 7 97 151 70 76 45 68 189 0.10 61 Cherokee, NJ 6 11 61 19 94 78 18 95 191 0.10 62 Jefferson Townsh 15 5 68 130 35 54 98 39 191 0.10 63 Haddonfield 10 8 43 53 78 62 60 71 193 0.10 64 Bernards 12 7 79 90 68 66 64 66 196 0.10 65 Delran 8 10 95 43 106 74 23 100 197 0.10 66 Watchung Hills 13 5 42 80 42 55 102 43 200 0.10 67 Mahwah 14 5 28 51 43 32 127 42 201 0.10 68 West Windsor-PB 8 9 69 77 100 82 26 94 202 0.10 69 Bishop Eustace P 16 4 27 35 21 17 166 20 203 0.10 70 Montclair HS 10 9 53 40 75 75 44 87 206 0.10 71 Seneca, NJ 8 12 81 29 122 79 17 124 220 0.10 72 Lacey Township 13 5 83 177 45 67 113 47 227 0.10 73 East Brunswick 10 8 91 110 85 81 63 85 229 0.10 74 Central Regional 11 5 108 167 51 65 120 50 235 0.10 75 Vernon Township 13 5 89 162 48 80 109 49 238 0.10 76 Bergen Tech 12 6 84 137 58 77 104 58 239 0.10 77 St. Rose 8 10 105 100 116 97 37 107 241 0.10 78 Pequannock Towns 9 10 87 65 111 87 48 109 244 0.10 79 Lower Cape May 12 6 112 185 61 86 100 60 246 0.10 80 Wall Township 9 7 78 113 79 84 80 82 246 0.10 81 Voorhees 8 9 77 79 112 95 40 112 247 0.10 82 Old Bridge 8 6 86 98 63 73 114 65 252 0.10 83 Middle Township 10 8 137 173 87 96 78 79 253 0.10 84 Toms River North 11 4 75 142 40 70 144 41 255 0.10 85 Red Bank Regiona 10 9 102 121 104 94 61 101 256 0.10 86 Hopewell Valley 12 7 51 33 65 64 135 59 258 0.10 87 Wayne Valley 11 7 101 156 74 98 89 73 260 0.10 88 Toms River East 8 8 124 126 92 101 73 92 266 0.10 89 Mt. St. Dominic 9 10 66 62 114 90 62 119 271 0.10 90 New Providence 10 8 70 84 82 92 95 84 271 0.10 91 NV-Demarest 10 7 103 147 77 89 106 76 271 0.10 92 Kingsway 5 12 98 28 130 109 27 136 272 0.10 93 Morris Knolls 3 12 93 11 98 104 50 118 272 0.10 94 Somerville 13 5 55 111 47 83 141 48 272 0.10 95 Morris Catholic 9 9 82 83 108 91 79 104 274 0.10 96 Manalapan 10 8 92 127 91 105 81 90 276 0.10 97 Lenape Valley 10 10 132 134 107 110 57 111 278 0.10 98 Southern Regiona 9 9 113 141 105 102 74 106 282 0.10 99 Montville Townsh 11 8 62 58 72 59 154 70 283 0.10 100 Verona, NJ 10 8 74 91 89 85 108 93 286 0.10 101 Livingston 13 7 90 139 60 93 134 61 288 0.10 102 Pingry School 10 9 35 21 83 40 168 81 289 0.10 103 NV-Old Tappan 11 10 127 140 109 108 83 105 296 0.10 104 Mt. Olive 5 12 114 55 144 111 47 142 300 0.10 105 St. John Vianney 8 10 111 124 118 117 70 116 303 0.10 106 Fair Lawn 7 11 107 78 127 106 72 126 304 0.10 107 Barnegat Townshi 11 8 119 169 80 100 132 74 306 0.10 108 Collingswood 11 9 64 102 101 103 105 99 307 0.10 109 Oakcrest 9 11 145 182 121 134 53 123 310 0.10 110 Maple Shade 8 11 104 87 124 114 85 122 321 0.10 111 Randolph, NJ 3 12 118 39 149 115 65 145 325 0.10 112 Morristown-Beard 11 6 94 159 66 99 167 62 328 0.10 113 Monroe Township 7 9 117 105 102 107 119 103 329 0.10 114 Scotch Plains-Fa 7 12 99 73 142 122 68 148 338 0.10 115 Holy Cross, NJ 10 9 76 66 97 72 179 89 340 0.10 116 Sterling 9 9 96 117 110 116 124 108 348 0.10 117 Northern Burling 10 9 88 64 99 88 172 91 351 0.10 118 Egg Harbor Twp 5 13 159 160 154 141 56 155 352 0.10 119 Bridgewater-Rari 5 13 80 20 157 112 82 159 353 0.10 120 Pascack Valley 5 10 110 70 132 113 112 128 353 0.10 121 Hightstown 4 8 135 81 96 121 139 97 357 0.10 122 Morris Hills 10 7 109 176 76 118 169 75 362 0.10 123 Holmdel 5 11 146 112 133 137 111 121 369 0.10 124 River Dell 8 9 125 146 103 120 140 110 370 0.10 125 Jackson Memorial 6 9 136 133 117 123 131 117 371 0.10 126 Steinert (Ham. E 3 11 163 82 139 145 92 138 375 0.10 127 Paul VI, NJ 4 10 123 72 135 128 117 133 378 0.10 128 Pinelands Region 6 11 150 153 136 127 116 135 378 0.10 129 Gloucester Catho 4 12 131 71 145 136 99 144 379 0.10 130 Jackson Liberty, 7 9 144 168 113 119 146 114 379 0.10 131 Waldwick 7 11 139 138 138 126 115 139 380 0.10 132 New Egypt 2 13 134 42 158 139 86 157 382 0.10 133 Millburn 6 10 115 96 128 131 121 131 383 0.10 134 Dwight-Englewood 6 10 133 136 126 125 129 130 384 0.10 135 Montclair Kimber 7 14 106 56 160 135 91 162 388 0.10 136 Pennsauken 6 13 120 97 153 149 93 147 389 0.10 137 Hamilton West 7 10 126 52 93 124 173 96 393 0.10 138 Phillipsburg 8 10 100 95 115 129 152 115 396 0.10 139 Moorestown Frien 7 10 128 48 88 146 181 80 407 0.10 140 Saddle River Day 11 10 130 150 84 140 185 88 413 0.10 141 Boonton 7 10 151 161 123 138 153 125 416 0.10 142 Ramapo 1 14 129 59 174 151 96 169 416 0.10 143 Cherry Hill West 1 16 141 32 170 159 84 174 417 0.10 144 Lawrence HS 1 14 169 85 164 167 88 164 419 0.10 145 Newark Academy, 7 12 138 143 146 142 136 146 424 0.10 146 North Brunswick 7 10 116 122 129 132 161 132 425 0.10 147 Ewing Township 5 11 148 88 119 133 180 113 426 0.10 148 St. Elizabeth Ac 8 11 142 170 137 143 147 137 427 0.10 149 Park Regional 4 10 156 145 134 144 150 134 428 0.10 150 DePaul Catholic 3 15 167 158 175 157 97 175 429 0.10 151 Monmouth Regiona 5 10 143 135 131 148 162 127 437 0.10 152 West Milford Tow 3 15 174 157 176 160 101 176 437 0.10 153 Mt. St. Mary SG 6 12 121 114 148 150 138 150 438 0.10 154 Immaculata 5 12 140 104 150 154 137 151 442 0.10 155 Kittatinny Regio 6 11 147 171 140 147 158 140 445 0.10 156 Pascack Hills 4 9 165 175 120 155 176 120 451 0.10 157 Neptune 2 14 176 119 169 158 123 172 453 0.10 158 Manchester Towns 8 13 149 183 156 153 149 153 455 0.10 159 Millville 6 12 161 172 141 130 184 141 455 0.10 160 Nottingham (Ham. 0 17 184 54 172 173 122 166 461 0.10 161 Point Pleasant B 1 14 177 123 173 165 128 168 461 0.10 162 Cranford 6 12 122 118 147 152 164 149 465 0.10 163 Brick Township 2 15 166 131 177 164 126 177 467 0.10 164 Long Branch 5 16 153 144 179 161 130 178 469 0.10 165 Absegami 2 14 178 180 168 166 133 171 470 0.10 166 Pope John XXIII, 3 13 155 154 161 156 160 160 476 0.10 167 Woodstown 5 11 152 128 143 162 171 143 476 0.10 168 Ranney School 1 13 173 116 159 176 151 154 481 0.10 169 Warren Hills 0 17 158 89 186 172 125 186 483 0.10 170 Paramus HS 3 14 168 166 166 163 157 167 487 0.10 171 Governor Livings 2 13 164 92 162 169 159 161 489 0.10 172 Rutgers Prep 2 13 160 86 125 178 186 129 493 0.10 173 J.P. Stevens 5 12 162 148 151 168 174 152 494 0.10 174 High Point Regio 1 13 181 149 163 177 156 163 496 0.10 175 OLMA, NJ 1 15 182 178 178 174 143 179 496 0.10 176 Brick Memorial 2 17 170 129 184 170 145 184 499 0.10 177 Monsignor Donova 3 14 171 181 165 171 165 165 501 0.10 178 Marlboro, NJ 0 15 183 120 180 179 148 180 507 0.10 179 North Warren, NJ 2 13 154 93 152 175 177 158 510 0.10 180 Clifton 1 17 180 165 185 181 155 185 521 0.10 181 Gateway Regional 3 12 157 155 155 184 183 156 523 0.10 182 Union Catholic 0 15 175 94 182 180 163 182 525 0.10 183 Mary Help of Chr 1 14 179 179 171 183 170 173 526 0.10 184 South Plainfield 3 14 172 164 167 182 178 170 530 0.10 185 Passaic Valley 0 15 185 184 181 185 175 181 541 0.10 186 Winslow 0 16 186 163 183 186 182 183 551 0.10
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