girls probabilites for 31
2013 girls MD-Public
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Sherwood, MD 16 1 36 83 8 4 1 4 9 0.10
2 Century, MD 16 3 2 3 4 3 10 3 16 21.00
3 Catonsville 16 3 9 27 14 6 3 8 17 1.00
4 Broadneck 18 3 4 11 2 5 8 5 18 7.00
5 C. M. Wright 16 2 5 2 3 1 19 2 22 7.00
6 Hereford 13 5 15 13 12 13 2 12 27 0.10
7 Marriotts Ridge 18 1 1 4 1 2 32 1 35 36.00
8 Mt. Hebron 14 3 3 5 6 7 23 6 36 19.00
9 South River 15 3 6 24 5 11 22 7 40 3.00
10 Easton, MD 16 3 18 48 15 15 16 18 49 0.10
11 Winters Mill 15 5 11 6 11 9 27 13 49 2.00
12 Leonardtown 13 1 14 94 9 19 36 10 65 0.10
13 Wootton 11 3 48 81 27 10 40 15 65 0.10
14 Oakdale 13 5 21 50 29 24 12 30 66 0.10
15 Fallston 10 8 28 16 45 23 5 42 70 0.10
16 Queen Anne's Cou 16 1 8 46 7 14 48 9 71 0.10
17 Blake, MD 11 3 57 109 33 16 35 21 72 0.10
18 River Hill 12 4 13 19 10 18 44 14 76 0.10
19 Whitman, MD 8 6 75 95 66 25 6 50 81 0.10
20 North Harford 13 3 7 23 13 8 63 11 82 3.00
21 Middletown, MD 12 3 20 57 24 20 39 25 84 0.10
22 Perry Hall 8 7 32 44 52 31 4 49 84 0.10
23 Westminster, MD 8 7 29 12 49 29 7 55 91 0.10
24 Dulaney 11 5 24 39 20 12 59 22 93 0.10
25 Atholton 10 6 25 38 32 44 9 41 94 0.10
26 Liberty, MD 9 6 22 18 39 22 33 44 99 0.10
27 Towson HS 8 5 26 42 44 32 29 38 99 0.10
28 Bel Air 9 6 35 28 43 36 20 45 101 0.10
29 Kent Island 11 6 31 56 51 43 14 47 104 0.10
30 Damascus 12 1 37 118 17 21 74 16 111 0.10
31 Loch Raven 8 7 34 36 64 27 25 59 111 0.10
32 Patuxent 11 6 58 85 48 48 15 52 115 0.10
33 Stephen Decatur, 11 3 17 66 22 42 50 24 116 0.10
34 Montgomery Blair 11 3 70 123 35 40 58 23 121 0.10
35 Glenelg HS 10 5 12 7 18 17 88 19 124 0.10
36 Centennial, MD 5 8 41 10 54 56 13 64 133 0.10
37 Walkersville 10 4 30 64 36 45 55 33 133 0.10
38 Annapolis, MD 9 6 19 15 23 33 70 31 134 0.10
39 Manchester Valle 10 5 16 35 28 30 75 29 134 0.10
40 Walter Johnson 7 7 81 91 70 28 53 53 134 0.10
41 Severna Park 11 4 10 45 16 26 90 20 136 1.00
42 Poolesville 7 6 74 97 69 50 34 57 141 0.10
43 Eastern Technica 7 8 51 59 76 55 21 66 142 0.10
44 Parkside 9 5 39 60 46 51 45 46 142 0.10
45 Arundel 7 8 43 41 59 57 17 70 144 0.10
46 Calvert 11 3 45 100 31 46 68 34 148 0.10
47 North Hagerstown 12 2 27 90 19 49 82 17 148 0.10
48 Huntingtown 12 4 33 84 21 37 84 28 149 0.10
49 Patterson Mill 8 9 38 21 72 41 42 69 152 0.10
50 Wilde Lake 7 9 50 26 62 66 11 75 152 0.10
51 Howard 12 6 23 34 26 34 102 27 163 0.10
52 Quince Orchard 8 6 79 104 65 54 54 56 164 0.10
53 Winston Churchil 7 6 66 98 55 39 73 54 166 0.10
54 Bethesda-Chevy C 6 7 91 106 80 53 47 72 172 0.10
55 Linganore 7 9 53 52 94 52 24 97 173 0.10
56 Northern, Calver 7 6 63 82 57 59 51 63 173 0.10
57 Tuscarora, MD 8 7 52 65 78 58 43 74 175 0.10
58 La Plata 9 6 84 103 60 63 52 62 177 0.10
59 Kenwood 9 5 77 108 50 67 65 48 180 0.10
60 North Carroll 5 10 47 17 82 62 46 83 191 0.10
61 South Carroll 4 10 61 25 104 69 18 108 195 0.10
62 Kent County 6 8 49 55 88 76 49 78 203 0.10
63 Great Mills 7 6 82 96 63 72 71 65 208 0.10
64 City College 6 2 89 131 34 35 138 36 209 0.10
65 Harford Tech 6 3 40 68 38 47 125 37 209 0.10
66 Northeast, MD 6 9 55 29 74 80 38 91 209 0.10
67 Woodlawn 5 2 88 128 37 38 137 35 210 0.10
68 Francis Scott Ke 3 10 62 20 106 77 26 109 212 0.10
69 Franklin, MD 5 11 65 51 120 71 28 113 212 0.10
70 Urbana 3 10 69 31 113 68 31 115 214 0.10
71 Clarksburg 7 6 92 117 67 81 76 61 218 0.10
72 Western STES 8 3 93 133 40 64 115 39 218 0.10
73 Northwest, MD 6 6 96 112 71 70 85 67 222 0.10
74 Southern, Anne A 7 8 44 43 61 65 87 71 223 0.10
75 Perryville 11 2 54 113 25 74 126 26 226 0.10
76 Sparrows Point 11 3 42 93 30 60 134 32 226 0.10
77 Pikesville 5 9 73 63 103 75 64 92 231 0.10
78 Long Reach 1 9 80 1 81 79 56 98 233 0.10
79 Frederick 5 7 56 61 87 78 81 82 241 0.10
80 Springbrook 6 8 115 124 98 89 67 86 242 0.10
81 Edgewood 9 5 59 101 47 86 109 51 246 0.10
82 Chesapeake, Pasa 6 9 46 33 56 73 97 77 247 0.10
83 Thomas Stone 6 8 104 107 95 90 66 93 249 0.10
84 Western, Baltimo 8 3 109 136 41 82 127 40 249 0.10
85 Old Mill 4 12 83 47 116 94 30 128 252 0.10
86 Richard Montgome 4 9 110 110 117 87 61 106 254 0.10
87 Joppatowne 3 6 100 75 77 84 95 76 255 0.10
88 Watkins Mill 6 5 85 126 58 88 107 60 255 0.10
89 Patapsco 9 5 64 99 42 85 131 43 259 0.10
90 Hammond 1 11 94 8 111 97 41 122 260 0.10
91 North County 3 9 71 40 90 98 62 103 263 0.10
92 Havre De Grace 6 9 60 49 93 61 117 90 268 0.10
93 Boonsboro 6 7 72 74 75 96 92 81 269 0.10
94 Oakland Mills 0 11 97 22 122 105 37 127 269 0.10
95 Seneca Valley, M 5 8 106 114 101 95 77 100 272 0.10
96 Gaithersburg 4 10 118 115 125 102 57 116 275 0.10
97 Brunswick, MD 6 8 68 72 92 100 83 95 278 0.10
98 Rockville 6 7 102 116 85 92 106 80 278 0.10
99 J.M. Bennett 1 9 86 9 107 83 86 110 279 0.10
100 Polytechnic, Bal 6 7 122 135 83 103 94 84 281 0.10
101 Carver A-T, Balt 9 5 67 111 53 93 133 58 284 0.10
102 Einstein 5 8 113 125 100 104 93 96 293 0.10
103 Overlea 2 5 123 120 68 112 116 68 296 0.10
104 Chopticon 3 9 114 87 114 91 96 112 299 0.10
105 Paint Branch 3 10 120 122 128 116 80 114 310 0.10
106 North East, Ceci 3 10 90 67 112 111 89 111 311 0.10
107 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 10 117 32 124 109 79 124 312 0.10
108 Elkton 2 6 87 71 73 113 128 73 314 0.10
109 North Point 2 10 116 86 127 110 78 126 314 0.10
110 McDonough 3 12 119 105 136 120 60 136 316 0.10
111 Meade 2 11 99 53 115 119 72 125 316 0.10
112 Aberdeen 1 7 95 69 96 114 110 94 318 0.10
113 Gov. Thomas John 2 10 101 54 121 106 99 117 322 0.10
114 Cambridge-S Dorc 1 11 105 30 126 101 100 123 324 0.10
115 Digital Harbor 4 8 132 134 102 117 105 102 324 0.10
116 Glen Burnie 0 12 112 37 130 123 69 133 325 0.10
117 Chesapeake, Balt 0 7 126 77 99 124 103 101 328 0.10
118 Rising Sun 1 6 103 70 84 107 136 85 328 0.10
119 New Town 2 6 127 132 79 126 129 79 334 0.10
120 Parkville 2 8 111 76 109 108 123 104 335 0.10
121 North Caroline 3 10 76 58 108 115 114 107 336 0.10
122 Reservoir 3 12 78 14 110 99 122 119 340 0.10
123 NAF HS 0 6 137 137 89 137 118 88 343 0.10
124 Bohemia Manor 0 6 124 88 86 133 124 87 344 0.10
125 Westlake, MD 2 11 129 102 131 125 91 131 347 0.10
126 Owings Mills 2 9 107 80 119 118 113 118 349 0.10
127 Catoctin 1 9 108 62 118 122 111 120 353 0.10
128 Milford Mill 1 7 128 129 97 135 120 99 354 0.10
129 Patterson 0 6 138 138 91 138 130 89 357 0.10
130 Dundalk 1 8 125 79 105 121 135 105 361 0.10
131 Lackey 0 11 134 92 133 127 104 134 365 0.10
132 Lansdowne 0 11 130 89 134 132 101 132 365 0.10
133 Magruder 0 13 135 119 138 134 98 138 370 0.10
134 Kennedy, MD 1 11 136 121 132 129 112 130 371 0.10
135 Northwood, MD 1 12 133 127 137 136 108 137 381 0.10
136 Smithsburg 3 11 98 78 123 128 132 121 381 0.10
137 Wheaton, MD 3 10 121 130 129 131 121 129 381 0.10
138 South Hagerstown 0 12 131 73 135 130 119 135 384 0.10
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