Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal (Morgan) Frase

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2743225    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 79.9)    12-11   
 313 A Centreville            VA    Cncrd   (11- 4, 92.8)    12-16   
 315 A Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 1- 9, 65.1)    14- 4   
 319 H South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 4- 8, 79.1)    15- 5   
 321 H McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 7, 80.8)    17-11   
 403 H Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   ( 1-14, 73.9)    10- 6   
 405 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (17- 2, 95.0)    11-18   
 409 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 2- 8, 68.4)    14- 2   
 412 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 9- 6, 83.1)    13-12   
 416 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 2- 8, 64.6)    16- 3   
 418 A Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    (10- 6, 83.9)    11- 6   
 424 H T.C. Williams          VA    Pat     ( 4-11, 75.9)    14- 8   
 426 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 62.6)    14- 1   
 429 H Edison, VA             VA    Natl    ( 4- 9, 68.9)    17- 5   
 503 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 62.6)    15- 1   
 507 H Edison, VA             VA    Natl    ( 4- 9, 68.9)    16- 5   
 510 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 9- 6, 83.1)    17- 7   
 514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 7- 7, 82.8)    19-18  o
 516 H Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   (10- 6, 93.2)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H West Potomac           12-11       1     8    ---   -7.37
   313 A Centreville            12-16      -4    -6    +      2.50
   315 A Mt. Vernon             14- 4      10    21           0.00
   319 H South Lakes            15- 5      10     9           0.77
   321 H McLean, VA             17-11       6     7          -1.50
   403 H Chantilly              10- 6       4    14    ---   -6.00
   405 A Westfield, VA          11-18      -7    -8           1.76
   409 A Falls Church           14- 2      12    17           0.00
   412 H Hayfield               13-12       1     5    --    -4.23
   416 H J.E.B. Stuart          16- 3      13    23           0.00
   418 A Washington-Lee         11- 6       5     2    +      2.60
   424 H T.C. Williams          14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   426 A Wakefield HS, VA       14- 1      13    23           0.00
   429 H Edison, VA             17- 5      12    19           0.00
   503 H Wakefield HS, VA       15- 1      14    25           0.00
   507 H Edison, VA             16- 5      11    19           0.00
   510 H Hayfield               17- 7      10     5    ++     4.77
   514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   19-18  o    1     5    --    -4.48
   516 H Oakton                  9-14      -5    -4          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H West Potomac           12-11       1     8    ---   -7.37
   403 H Chantilly              10- 6       4    14    ---   -6.00
   412 H Hayfield               13-12       1     5    --    -4.23
   424 H T.C. Williams          14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   19-18  o    1     5    --    -4.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Hayfield               17- 7      10     5    ++     4.77
   313 A Centreville            12-16      -4    -6    +      2.50
   418 A Washington-Lee         11- 6       5     2    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.29 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.85 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   125
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/