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Region = VA Natl Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Crystal (Morgan) FraseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.2743225 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 311 H West Potomac VA Pat ( 4- 8, 79.9) 12-11 313 A Centreville VA Cncrd (11- 4, 92.8) 12-16 315 A Mt. Vernon VA Natl ( 1- 9, 65.1) 14- 4 319 H South Lakes VA Lbrty ( 4- 8, 79.1) 15- 5 321 H McLean, VA VA Lbrty ( 5- 7, 80.8) 17-11 403 H Chantilly VA Cncrd ( 1-14, 73.9) 10- 6 405 A Westfield, VA VA Cncrd (17- 2, 95.0) 11-18 409 A Falls Church VA Natl ( 2- 8, 68.4) 14- 2 412 H Hayfield VA Natl ( 9- 6, 83.1) 13-12 416 H J.E.B. Stuart VA Natl ( 2- 8, 64.6) 16- 3 418 A Washington-Lee VA Natl (10- 6, 83.9) 11- 6 424 H T.C. Williams VA Pat ( 4-11, 75.9) 14- 8 426 A Wakefield HS, VA VA Natl ( 3- 9, 62.6) 14- 1 429 H Edison, VA VA Natl ( 4- 9, 68.9) 17- 5 503 H Wakefield HS, VA VA Natl ( 3- 9, 62.6) 15- 1 507 H Edison, VA VA Natl ( 4- 9, 68.9) 16- 5 510 H Hayfield VA Natl ( 9- 6, 83.1) 17- 7 514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T VA Lbrty ( 7- 7, 82.8) 19-18 o 516 H Oakton VA Cncrd (10- 6, 93.2) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H West Potomac 12-11 1 8 --- -7.37 313 A Centreville 12-16 -4 -6 + 2.50 315 A Mt. Vernon 14- 4 10 21 0.00 319 H South Lakes 15- 5 10 9 0.77 321 H McLean, VA 17-11 6 7 -1.50 403 H Chantilly 10- 6 4 14 --- -6.00 405 A Westfield, VA 11-18 -7 -8 1.76 409 A Falls Church 14- 2 12 17 0.00 412 H Hayfield 13-12 1 5 -- -4.23 416 H J.E.B. Stuart 16- 3 13 23 0.00 418 A Washington-Lee 11- 6 5 2 + 2.60 424 H T.C. Williams 14- 8 6 12 -- -4.00 426 A Wakefield HS, VA 14- 1 13 23 0.00 429 H Edison, VA 17- 5 12 19 0.00 503 H Wakefield HS, VA 15- 1 14 25 0.00 507 H Edison, VA 16- 5 11 19 0.00 510 H Hayfield 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.77 514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T 19-18 o 1 5 -- -4.48 516 H Oakton 9-14 -5 -4 -0.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H West Potomac 12-11 1 8 --- -7.37 403 H Chantilly 10- 6 4 14 --- -6.00 412 H Hayfield 13-12 1 5 -- -4.23 424 H T.C. Williams 14- 8 6 12 -- -4.00 514 H Thomas Jefferson S&T 19-18 o 1 5 -- -4.48OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Hayfield 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.77 313 A Centreville 12-16 -4 -6 + 2.50 418 A Washington-Lee 11- 6 5 2 + 2.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.29 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 53.85 Local SOS Rank............. 41 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 125 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0