Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Richard Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1295166    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)    10- 5   
 411 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     9-12   
 416 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     8- 6   
 417 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 79.6)     9- 6   
 420 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.3)     9- 7   
 422 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)     7-11   
 423 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 85.4)    11- 7   
 425 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 71.2)    16- 1   
 427 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.5)     5- 8   
 430 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)    20- 7   
 502 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     4-14   
 507 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    10-12   
 509 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 79.6)    12-10   
 511 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 85.4)     8- 4   
 513 H Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   (10- 7, 80.0)     9-10 2o
 514 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 71.2)    15- 2   
 521 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 79.9)    14- 5   
 523 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    12-11   
 529 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Williamsville East     10- 5       5     6          -1.71
   411 H Hamburg                 9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.87
   416 H Williamsville North     8- 6       2     1           0.02
   417 H West Seneca West        9- 6       3    11    ---   -7.00
   420 A Amherst, NY             9- 7       2     1           0.59
   422 A Clarence                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.13
   423 A Williamsville South    11- 7       4     4          -0.31
   425 A Sweet Home             16- 1      15    18           0.00
   427 A Frontier                5- 8      -3    -4           1.75
   430 H Williamsville East     20- 7      13     7    +      2.01
   502 A Hamburg                 4-14     -10   -10           0.00
   507 A Williamsville North    10-12      -2     0    -     -2.70
   509 A West Seneca West       12-10       2    10    ---   -8.00
   511 H Williamsville South     8- 4       4     5          -1.59
   513 H Aquinas Institute, NY   9-10 2o   -1    11          n/a  
   514 H Sweet Home             15- 2      13    19           0.00
   521 H Grand Island           14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   523 H Williamsville North    12-11       1     1          -0.98
   529 N Hamburg                 9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H West Seneca West        9- 6       3    11    ---   -7.00
   509 A West Seneca West       12-10       2    10    ---   -8.00
   513 H Aquinas Institute, NY   9-10 2o   -1    11    ---        
   422 A Clarence                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.13
   507 A Williamsville North    10-12      -2     0    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Hamburg                 9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.87
   529 N Hamburg                 9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.51
   430 H Williamsville East     20- 7      13     7    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.39 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.19 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/