Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Kasey Marchwicki      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0284729    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 82.6)    13-15   
 403 H Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 65.8)    14- 5   
 405 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 69.9)     9- 8   
 411 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 61.1)    19- 4   
 413 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 7, 69.3)    19-16  o
 417 H Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 70.5)    17-10   
 419 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 7, 65.9)    15- 7   
 424 H Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 72.2)    15-11   
 426 H Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (15- 5, 81.8)    13-14   
 429 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   ( 4-10, 57.7)    20- 2   
 504 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 9- 9, 79.8)    15-13   
 506 A Poolesville            MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 6, 70.7)    11- 6   
 510 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 7, 69.3)    13- 8   
 513 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 82.6)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Sherwood, MD           13-15      -2    -5    +      3.79
   403 H Clarksburg             14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   405 A Quince Orchard          9- 8       1     6    --    -5.96
   411 H Richard Montgomery, MD 19- 4      15    17           0.00
   413 A Walter Johnson         19-16  o    3     7    --    -4.53
   417 H Whitman, MD            17-10       7     7          -0.73
   419 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   424 H Winston Churchill      15-11       4     5          -1.95
   426 H Bullis School          13-14      -1    -3          n/a  
   429 A Gaithersburg           20- 2      18    19           0.00
   504 H Holton-Arms School     15-13       2    -1          n/a  
   506 A Poolesville            11- 6       5     6          -1.15
   510 H Walter Johnson         13- 8       5     8    -     -3.89
   513 A Sherwood, MD            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Quince Orchard          9- 8       1     6    --    -5.96
   413 A Walter Johnson         19-16  o    3     7    --    -4.53
   513 A Sherwood, MD            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.21
   419 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   510 H Walter Johnson         13- 8       5     8    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Sherwood, MD           13-15      -2    -5    +      3.79
   426 H Bullis School          13-14      -1    -3    +          
   504 H Holton-Arms School     15-13       2    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.50 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.94 Local SOS Rank.............    81
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   138
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/