Winchester Thurston           2 - 8


 
                                     Region = PA    WP D2-2          
   Nickname = A                      Coach  =   Elizabeth Patterson   



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.0405655    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Baldwin HS, PA         PA    WP D2-2 ( 5- 9, 77.5)    10- 8   
 404 H Blackhawk              PA    WP D2-2 (15- 5, 86.0)     3-11   
 409 H Bethel Park            PA    WP D2-2 ( 8- 9, 82.4)    11-16   
 411 A Moon Area              PA    WP D2-2 ( 4-10, 78.3)    12- 8   
 417 A Chartiers Valley       PA    WP D2-2 (17- 3, 90.9)     6-15   
 423 H Baldwin HS, PA         PA    WP D2-2 ( 5- 9, 77.5)     8-12   
 425 H Blackhawk              PA    WP D2-2 (15- 5, 86.0)     7-10   
 430 A Bethel Park            PA    WP D2-2 ( 8- 9, 82.4)     7-19   
 502 H Moon Area              PA    WP D2-2 ( 4-10, 78.3)   
 503 A Ellis School           PA    WP D2-1 (11- 3, 84.5)     7-19   
 507 H Chartiers Valley       PA    WP D2-2 (17- 3, 90.9)     8-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Baldwin HS, PA         10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.64
   404 H Blackhawk               3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   409 H Bethel Park            11-16      -5    -7    +      2.64
   411 A Moon Area              12- 8       4    -4    +++    8.53
   417 A Chartiers Valley        6-15      -9   -17           1.00
   423 H Baldwin HS, PA          8-12      -4    -2          -1.26
   425 H Blackhawk               7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   430 A Bethel Park             7-19     -12    -8          -1.46
   503 A Ellis School            7-19     -12   -10           0.00
   507 H Chartiers Valley        8-14      -6   -16    ++     4.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Moon Area              12- 8       4    -4    +++    8.53
   425 H Blackhawk               7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   402 A Baldwin HS, PA         10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.64
   507 H Chartiers Valley        8-14      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   404 H Blackhawk               3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   409 H Bethel Park            11-16      -5    -7    +      2.64




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.26 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.34 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0


  
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