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Region = MD 2A-1A Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Courtney VaughnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.3338165 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H North Carroll MD 2A-1A ( 5-10, 77.8) 14- 5 323 H Good Counsel DC WCAC (17- 3, 94.9) 4- 5 326 H Francis Scott Key MD 2A-1A ( 3-10, 73.9) 17- 7 404 A C. M. Wright MD 3A-2A (16- 2, 95.3) 4-14 406 H Glenelg HS MD 3A-2A (10- 5, 89.7) 6- 9 406 H Marriotts Ridge MD 3A-2A (18- 1, 99.9) 6- 7 409 H Linganore MD 4A-3A ( 7- 9, 75.9) 18- 1 411 H Liberty, MD MD 2A-1A ( 9- 6, 86.0) 8- 7 o 416 A Manchester Valley MD 2A-1A (10- 5, 88.0) 13-10 422 A Fallston MD 2A-1A (10- 8, 84.7) 14- 6 426 A Westminster, MD MD 4A-3A ( 8- 7, 83.8) 13- 9 430 H South Carroll MD 2A-1A ( 4-10, 74.3) 18- 2 502 A Century, MD MD 3A-2A (16- 3, 96.9) 10-12 504 A Oakdale MD 2A-1A (13- 5, 86.2) 13- 8 508 H North Carroll MD 2A-1A ( 5-10, 77.8) 19- 7 510 H Smithsburg MD 2A-1A ( 3-11, 64.3) 10- 1 513 A Walkersville MD 2A-1A (10- 4, 83.7) 17- 7 515 H Oakdale MD 2A-1A (13- 5, 86.2) 16- 4 517 N Loch Raven MD 2A-1A ( 8- 7, 83.0) 15- 8 521 N Easton, MD MD 2A-1A (16- 3, 87.8) 8- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H North Carroll 14- 5 9 14 -1.00 323 H Good Counsel 4- 5 -1 -3 n/a 326 H Francis Scott Key 17- 7 10 18 0.00 404 A C. M. Wright 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.36 406 H Glenelg HS 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.26 406 H Marriotts Ridge 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.91 409 H Linganore 18- 1 17 16 0.00 411 H Liberty, MD 8- 7 o 1 5 -- -4.97 416 A Manchester Valley 13-10 3 2 0.33 422 A Fallston 14- 6 8 5 + 2.11 426 A Westminster, MD 13- 9 4 6 - -2.85 430 H South Carroll 18- 2 16 17 0.00 502 A Century, MD 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.32 504 A Oakdale 13- 8 5 4 0.61 508 H North Carroll 19- 7 12 14 0.00 510 H Smithsburg 10- 1 9 27 -1.00 513 A Walkersville 17- 7 10 6 + 3.10 515 H Oakdale 16- 4 12 5 ++ 4.25 517 N Loch Raven 15- 8 7 8 -1.28 521 N Easton, MD 8- 7 1 3 - -2.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A C. M. Wright 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.36 406 H Glenelg HS 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.26 411 H Liberty, MD 8- 7 o 1 5 -- -4.97 426 A Westminster, MD 13- 9 4 6 - -2.85 521 N Easton, MD 8- 7 1 3 - -2.49OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Marriotts Ridge 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.91 502 A Century, MD 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.32 515 H Oakdale 16- 4 12 5 ++ 4.25 323 H Good Counsel 4- 5 -1 -3 + 422 A Fallston 14- 6 8 5 + 2.11 513 A Walkersville 17- 7 10 6 + 3.10/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.31 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 66.91 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.7