Region = MD    2A-1A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Courtney Vaughn       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3338165    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H North Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 5-10, 77.8)    14- 5   
 323 H Good Counsel           DC    WCAC    (17- 3, 94.9)     4- 5   
 326 H Francis Scott Key      MD    2A-1A   ( 3-10, 73.9)    17- 7   
 404 A C. M. Wright           MD    3A-2A   (16- 2, 95.3)     4-14   
 406 H Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (10- 5, 89.7)     6- 9   
 406 H Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     6- 7   
 409 H Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 9, 75.9)    18- 1   
 411 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 86.0)     8- 7  o
 416 A Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (10- 5, 88.0)    13-10   
 422 A Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (10- 8, 84.7)    14- 6   
 426 A Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 83.8)    13- 9   
 430 H South Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 4-10, 74.3)    18- 2   
 502 A Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (16- 3, 96.9)    10-12   
 504 A Oakdale                MD    2A-1A   (13- 5, 86.2)    13- 8   
 508 H North Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 5-10, 77.8)    19- 7   
 510 H Smithsburg             MD    2A-1A   ( 3-11, 64.3)    10- 1   
 513 A Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   (10- 4, 83.7)    17- 7   
 515 H Oakdale                MD    2A-1A   (13- 5, 86.2)    16- 4   
 517 N Loch Raven             MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 7, 83.0)    15- 8   
 521 N Easton, MD             MD    2A-1A   (16- 3, 87.8)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H North Carroll          14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   323 H Good Counsel            4- 5      -1    -3          n/a  
   326 H Francis Scott Key      17- 7      10    18           0.00
   404 A C. M. Wright            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.36
   406 H Glenelg HS              6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.26
   406 H Marriotts Ridge         6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.91
   409 H Linganore              18- 1      17    16           0.00
   411 H Liberty, MD             8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.97
   416 A Manchester Valley      13-10       3     2           0.33
   422 A Fallston               14- 6       8     5    +      2.11
   426 A Westminster, MD        13- 9       4     6    -     -2.85
   430 H South Carroll          18- 2      16    17           0.00
   502 A Century, MD            10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.32
   504 A Oakdale                13- 8       5     4           0.61
   508 H North Carroll          19- 7      12    14           0.00
   510 H Smithsburg             10- 1       9    27          -1.00
   513 A Walkersville           17- 7      10     6    +      3.10
   515 H Oakdale                16- 4      12     5    ++     4.25
   517 N Loch Raven             15- 8       7     8          -1.28
   521 N Easton, MD              8- 7       1     3    -     -2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A C. M. Wright            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.36
   406 H Glenelg HS              6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.26
   411 H Liberty, MD             8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.97
   426 A Westminster, MD        13- 9       4     6    -     -2.85
   521 N Easton, MD              8- 7       1     3    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Marriotts Ridge         6- 7      -1    -7    +++    6.91
   502 A Century, MD            10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.32
   515 H Oakdale                16- 4      12     5    ++     4.25
   323 H Good Counsel            4- 5      -1    -3    +          
   422 A Fallston               14- 6       8     5    +      2.11
   513 A Walkersville           17- 7      10     6    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.31 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.91 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/