Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Nancy Webber (Haws)   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3411255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 83.1)    14- 9   
 406 A Centreville            VA    Cncrd   (11- 4, 92.8)     6-18   
 406 H Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (17- 2, 95.0)     8-14   
 409 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 58.9)    19- 4   
 412 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    13-11   
 416 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)    19- 9   
 423 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    14-10   
 424 A St. Catherine's, VA    VA    LIS     (15- 6, 89.4)     8-19   
 426 H Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 58.9)    18- 2   
 429 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    18-17   
 503 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)    18-12   
 507 H Deep Run               VA    WV      ( 9- 7, 75.0)    16- 4   
 514 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)    17-12   
 516 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    12-11  o
 522 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA    NW AAA  (13- 4, 80.8)    14- 4   
 524 A James River            VA    WV      ( 7- 7, 76.8)    17-12   
 527 A Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 83.1)     9- 8   
 530 H Langley                VA    Lbrty   (15- 6, 93.5)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Salem, VA              14- 9       5     0    ++     4.41
   406 A Centreville             6-18     -12    -9          -0.92
   406 H Westfield, VA           8-14      -6    -9    +      3.33
   409 A Fluvanna               19- 4      15    24           0.00
   412 H Albemarle              13-11       2     5    -     -3.56
   416 H Charlottesville        19- 9      10    13           0.00
   423 A Monticello, VA         14-10       4     9    --    -5.31
   424 A St. Catherine's, VA     8-19     -11    -5    --    -4.31
   426 H Fluvanna               18- 2      16    26           0.00
   429 A Albemarle              18-17       1     3    -     -2.55
   503 A Charlottesville        18-12       6    11    --    -4.00
   507 H Deep Run               16- 4      12    10           0.00
   514 H Charlottesville        17-12       5    13    --    -5.00
   516 H Albemarle              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.56
   522 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 14- 4      10     4    ++     5.10
   524 A James River            17-12       5     6          -1.90
   527 A Salem, VA               9- 8       1     0           0.41
   530 H Langley                10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Monticello, VA         14-10       4     9    --    -5.31
   424 A St. Catherine's, VA     8-19     -11    -5    --    -4.31
   503 A Charlottesville        18-12       6    11    --    -4.00
   514 H Charlottesville        17-12       5    13    --    -5.00
   516 H Albemarle              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.56
   412 H Albemarle              13-11       2     5    -     -3.56
   429 A Albemarle              18-17       1     3    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Salem, VA              14- 9       5     0    ++     4.41
   522 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 14- 4      10     4    ++     5.10
   530 H Langley                10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.78
   406 H Westfield, VA           8-14      -6    -9    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.70 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.76 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   119
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/