Tahoma                        5 - 6


 
                                     Region = WA    Nisq             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Dan Casey             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.5956497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Graham-Kapowsin        WA    Nisq    ( 3- 9, 68.2)    11-10   
 319 A Lake Tapps             WA    Nisq    ( 4- 8, 74.8)     1- 9   
 323 H Wenatchee              WA    No S    ( 7- 5, 80.3)     7- 7   
 326 H Puyallup               WA    Nisq    ( 9- 5, 79.3)     3-17   
 328 A Mukilteo               WA    No S    ( 3- 8, 70.3)    16-13   
 409 A Stadium                WA    Pen     ( 8- 5, 81.8)     4-16   
 411 A Spanaway Lake          WA    Nisq    ( 1-11, 56.1)    18- 2   
 416 H Bethel, WA             WA    Nisq    ( 2-10, 61.9)    19- 5   
 418 H Bellarmine Prep        WA    Pen     ( 4- 7, 71.4)     5-10   
 423 H Gig Harbor             WA    Pen     ( 8- 4, 80.6)     6-16   
 427 H Evergreen, WA          WA    Nisq    ( 7- 4, 77.9)     7-11   
 430 A North Kitsap           WA    Pen     ( 0-10, 58.7)     1- 0   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Graham-Kapowsin        11-10       1     2          -1.55
   319 A Lake Tapps              1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.94
   323 H Wenatchee               7- 7       0    -7    +++    7.87
   326 H Puyallup                3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.11
   328 A Mukilteo               16-13       3     0    +      2.57
   409 A Stadium                 4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   411 A Spanaway Lake          18- 2      16    14           0.00
   416 H Bethel, WA             19- 5      14    10           0.00
   418 H Bellarmine Prep         5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.02
   423 H Gig Harbor              6-16     -10    -8          -1.87
   427 H Evergreen, WA           7-11      -4    -5           1.43


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Bellarmine Prep         5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.02
   319 A Lake Tapps              1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.94
   326 H Puyallup                3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.11


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Wenatchee               7- 7       0    -7    +++    7.87
   328 A Mukilteo               16-13       3     0    +      2.57




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.58 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.78 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3


  
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