Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Carin Peterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0723877    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 4-12, 69.1)    18- 3   
 328 N Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 7, 85.7)     6-11   
 330 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 80.9)    12- 9   
 403 A Chesapeake, Pasadena   MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 9, 77.8)    11- 7   
 405 H Northeast, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 9, 75.7)    20- 4   
 409 A North County           MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 9, 71.0)    22- 4   
 412 H Glen Burnie            MD    4A-3A   ( 0-12, 60.5)    21- 2   
 416 H Meade                  MD    4A-3A   ( 2-11, 64.2)    19- 1   
 419 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (18- 3, 95.5)     8- 9   
 423 H Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 8, 78.3)    19- 3   
 426 A Annapolis, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 87.5)    14- 5   
 430 H South River            MD    4A-3A   (15- 3, 94.5)    13-16   
 503 H Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 8, 78.8)    23- 7   
 508 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 9, 77.8)    17- 5   
 510 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (18- 3, 95.5)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Old Mill               18- 3      15    21           0.00
   328 N Severn School           6-11      -5     6          n/a  
   330 N Roland Park Country    12- 9       3    10          n/a  
   403 A Chesapeake, Pasadena   11- 7       4    13    ---   -6.00
   405 H Northeast, MD          20- 4      16    16           0.00
   409 A North County           22- 4      18    20           0.00
   412 H Glen Burnie            21- 2      19    31           0.00
   416 H Meade                  19- 1      18    28           0.00
   419 A Broadneck               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.45
   423 H Southern, Anne Arundel 19- 3      16    14           0.00
   426 A Annapolis, MD          14- 5       9     3    ++     5.50
   430 H South River            13-16      -3    -2          -0.91
   503 H Arundel                23- 7      16    13           0.00
   508 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   17- 5      12    14           0.00
   510 A Broadneck               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 N Severn School           6-11      -5     6    ---        
   330 N Roland Park Country    12- 9       3    10    ---        
   403 A Chesapeake, Pasadena   11- 7       4    13    ---   -6.00
   510 A Broadneck               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Annapolis, MD          14- 5       9     3    ++     5.50
   419 A Broadneck               8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.70 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.20 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/