Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7456818    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   ( 2- 9, 72.3)    19- 7   
 319 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 77.0)    16-13   
 321 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 7-10, 73.7)    14-13   
 404 H Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (10- 7, 83.7)    13-11   
 407 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL    Indep   (23- 3, 99.9)    11-14   
 409 A Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  ( 4-14, 72.6)    18- 6   
 411 H Calverton School       MD    CALL    (11- 6, 91.5)    20- 9   
 416 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (17- 2, 94.7)     6-12   
 418 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  ( 3-12, 73.9)    14- 4   
 423 H Georgetown Day School  DC    ISL A   ( 0- 7, 60.8)    15- 2   
 425 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (27- 1, 99.9)     6-18   
 430 A Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 9- 9, 79.8)    11- 7   
 502 A Madeira School         DC    ISL A   ( 4-10, 72.9)    15-11   
 507 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (10-12, 80.1)    10- 9   
 509 A Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (15- 5, 81.8)  9
 511 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (10-12, 80.1)    14-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H National Cathedral, DC 19- 7      12    14           0.00
   319 H St. Mary's Ryken       16-13       3     9    ---   -6.41
   321 H St. John's College, DC 14-13       1    12    ---   -9.00
   404 H Flint Hill School      13-11       2     2          -0.74
   407 H Loyola Academy, IL     11-14      -3   -13          n/a  
   409 A Potomac School         18- 6      12    13           0.00
   411 H Calverton School       20- 9      11    -4          n/a  
   416 A Georgetown Visitation   6-12      -6    -8    +      2.71
   418 A Episcopal, VA          14- 4      10    12           0.00
   423 H Georgetown Day School  15- 2      13    25           0.00
   425 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  6-18     -12   -13           0.00
   430 A Holton-Arms School     11- 7       4     6    -     -2.15
   502 A Madeira School         15-11       4    13    ---   -6.00
   507 H Holy Child, MD         10- 9       1     6    --    -5.41
   511 H Holy Child, MD         14-12  o    2     6    --    -4.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Mary's Ryken       16-13       3     9    ---   -6.41
   321 H St. John's College, DC 14-13       1    12    ---   -9.00
   502 A Madeira School         15-11       4    13    ---   -6.00
   507 H Holy Child, MD         10- 9       1     6    --    -5.41
   511 H Holy Child, MD         14-12  o    2     6    --    -4.41
   430 A Holton-Arms School     11- 7       4     6    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Loyola Academy, IL     11-14      -3   -13    +++        
   411 H Calverton School       20- 9      11    -4    +++        
   416 A Georgetown Visitation   6-12      -6    -8    +      2.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.21 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.78 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/