South County, Lorton          6 - 6


 
                                     Region = VA    Pat              
   Nickname = A Stallions            Coach  =   Walter Bagwell        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.5022430    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 7- 7, 82.8)    13-12  o
 315 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 62.6)    20- 1   
 318 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 9- 6, 83.1)    13-12   
 403 H Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (17- 2, 95.0)     4-15   
 405 A T.C. Williams          VA    Pat     ( 4-11, 75.9)    11-14   
 412 H W.T. Woodson           VA    Pat     (13- 3, 94.5)     5-19   
 416 A Annandale              VA    Pat     (10- 7, 83.6)    10-16   
 422 H Lake Braddock          VA    Pat     ( 9- 9, 85.4)    16-17   
 426 A Robert E. Lee          VA    Pat     ( 2-10, 65.6)    16- 2   
 429 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 79.9)    14-12  o
 501 A West Springfield, VA   VA    Pat     (10- 6, 87.1)    12- 8   
 503 A Annandale              VA    Pat     (10- 7, 83.6)    10-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Thomas Jefferson S&T   13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.85
   315 A Wakefield HS, VA       20- 1      19    18           0.00
   318 H Hayfield               13-12       1     0           1.09
   403 H Westfield, VA           4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   405 A T.C. Williams          11-14      -3     5    ---   -8.03
   412 H W.T. Woodson            5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   416 A Annandale              10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.38
   422 H Lake Braddock          16-17      -1    -2           1.46
   426 A Robert E. Lee          16- 2      14    15           0.00
   429 H West Potomac           14-12  o    2     3          -1.05
   501 A West Springfield, VA   12- 8       4    -6    +++   10.18
   503 A Annandale              10-13      -3    -2          -0.38


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A T.C. Williams          11-14      -3     5    ---   -8.03
   416 A Annandale              10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.38


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A West Springfield, VA   12- 8       4    -6    +++   10.18
   313 A Thomas Jefferson S&T   13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.85




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.96 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.62 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   100
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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